Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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870
ACUS11 KWNS 022046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022045
LAZ000-TXZ000-022215-
Mesoscale Discussion 1133
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024
Areas affected...central/southeast Texas into southern Louisiana
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 022045Z - 022215Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms are possible this evening
from central Oklahoma to southern Louisiana.
DISCUSSION...Storms have started to develop in a region of strong to
extreme instability (3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE) which extends from
central Texas to southwest Louisiana. These storms are on the
periphery of better mid-level flow and more favorable shear for
supercells. Therefore, if any more robust updrafts can develop, they
may mature into supercells with the potential for large hail and
severe wind gusts. The relatively isolated nature of the greater
severe threat should mitigate the need for a watch, but one may be
needed if multiple sustained storms develop.
..Bentley/Smith.. 06/02/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...
LAT...LON 31669800 32079764 32159612 31959487 31419348 30679258
30339223 29859197 29529228 29919405 30219545 30649677
31009756 31669800