Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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338 FXUS62 KTBW 030117 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 917 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 .DISCUSSION...
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Issued at 917 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Showers and thunderstorms from this afternoon are winding down this evening, but still in place across portions of the southern half of the area. Expect some later afternoon and evening scattered storms to again be possible Monday with some continued upper energy and a bit more moisture in place. Some drier air then moves over the peninsula Tuesday through the week. Current forecast is on track with this and have little change for the update.
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&& .AVIATION...
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(00Z TAFS) Issued at 917 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Activity is winding down at the terminals this evening, and should be clear of the area by 02-03Z. Winds will be returning to the east for the overnight and morning hours, then turning onshore near the coast in the afternoon. Have Prob30s in for generally 20-24Z for thunderstorms, with VFR conditions prevailing through the period, but some MVFR to IFR possible in storms.
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&& .MARINE...
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Issued at 917 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 The sea breeze is pushing offshore this evening, with flow gradually returning to the east over the next couple of hours. High pressure will be in place across the waters, with scattered storms pushing offshore in the late evening from daytime convection over land. Easterly flow will continue with afternoon sea breezes near the coast. Current forecast is on track with little change for the update.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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TPA 75 90 76 93 / 20 70 30 50 FMY 72 91 73 94 / 50 80 50 80 GIF 73 92 72 94 / 20 70 10 60 SRQ 72 90 74 95 / 50 70 40 60 BKV 69 91 68 95 / 20 60 20 50 SPG 77 90 79 93 / 20 70 40 60
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&& Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby