Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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765
FNAK51 PAFC 262340
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
340 PM AKDT Sun May 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Relatively warm and somewhat unstable conditions will allow for
the development of isolated to scattered showers across much of
inland Southcentral this afternoon/evening. There`s an off chance
of a lightning strike or two, especially in the northern Copper
Basin and Susitna Valley where the greatest shower coverage is
expected, but overall probability remains low. RHs will be at a
minimum this afternoon, in the 35-45 percent range across much of
the inland lower elevations, with the exception of the western
Kenai Peninsula, which remains cooler and more moist.

Heading into the week, precipitation will primarily be focused in
the Copper River Basin as a series of troughs propagate into the
area from the east, bringing wetting rains to much of the basin
and adjacent mountains through Tuesday. RHs generally trend upward
across Southcentral for Monday and Tuesday with the succession of
easterly waves.


AKZ101-271715-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
340 PM AKDT Sun May 26 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           60           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   40 (-2)      43-49 (-2)   39           45-55
RH % (24H TREND)   90-97 (+11)  68-84 (+11)  100          48-75
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 2-5        S 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3037                      3286
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  8                      S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               21230                     22267
CWR                40           0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           40           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   47 (0)       58 (-2)      44           60
RH % (24H TREND)   82 (+3)      61 (+12)     88-95        54
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 1-6       SW 1-6       S 0-6        W 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3527                      3701
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               22992                     22442
CWR                30           0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-271715-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
340 PM AKDT Sun May 26 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           50           20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   40 (-1)      42-49 (-3)   39           44-53
RH % (24H TREND)   90-98 (+10)  68-83 (+12)  91-100       53-75
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      W 1-7        SW 1-7       W 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2937                      3606
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     W  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               16980                     21595
CWR                50           10           0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           50           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   47 (+1)      58 (-3)      44           60
RH % (24H TREND)   85 (+1)      55-61 (+12)  93           52
20FTWND(MPH)       S 0-5        SW 2-6       S 1-8        SW 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3674                      4602
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26851                     32360
CWR                50           0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-271715-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
340 PM AKDT Sun May 26 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           50           0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)   44 (+1)      49-58 (+1)   41           53-61
RH % (24H TREND)   83-90 (+1)   51-68 (+5)   91-98        45-57
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 1-5       SW 2-6       S 2-8        N 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3663                      4312
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     NE  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26598                     30753
CWR                10           10           0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         NONE         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   44 (+2)      52-58 (+1)   42           58
RH % (24H TREND)   86-93 (0)    53-63 (+3)   95           57
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 3-9       SW 3-10      S 5-11       W 1-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3550                      3554
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW 12                     SW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               32940                     34440
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-271715-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
340 PM AKDT Sun May 26 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           50           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   40 (+2)      42-52 (-1)   34-40        44-55
RH % (24H TREND)   76-89 (-6)   62-77 (+7)   89-100       51-71
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      S 1-6        S 1-7        SE 2-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2032                      3344
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  6                      SE  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               11682                     32870
CWR                0            10           0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           60           0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)   37-43 (+2)   42-49 (-1)   35-41        44-52
RH % (24H TREND)   78-88 (-11)  69-80 (+6)   91-100       60-76
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      S 1-7        S 0-7        SE 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              1254                      2268
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  6                      SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               9827                      18306
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-271715-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
340 PM AKDT Sun May 26 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           80           80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   28-36 (+1)   32-44 (-5)   28-37        32-46
RH % (24H TREND)   83-95 (0)    68-86 (+13)  87-100       60-86
20FTWND(MPH)       N 1-5        W 4-13       SW 2-12      W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3930                      5786
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W 10                      W  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               46760                     48006
CWR                20           50           60           50
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           80           80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   42 (+2)      51 (-9)      43           52
RH % (24H TREND)   84-96 (0)    60-77 (+25)  84-99        57-68
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      S 3-11 G18   S 2-11 G19   S 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3582                      4128
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW 10                     S  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               32847                     38690
CWR                10           50           50           40
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-271715-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
340 PM AKDT Sun May 26 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           30           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   40 (+1)      43-51 (-3)   40           48-55
RH % (24H TREND)   79-92 (+7)   64-78 (+16)  87-97        47-64
20FTWND(MPH)       N 1-8        W 2-10       W 3-9        SW 3-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4021                      5343
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  8                      SW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37329                     43164
CWR                30           0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           30           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   46 (0)       55-61 (-3)   43           61
RH % (24H TREND)   75-92 (+3)   45-58 (+15)  88-94        45-51
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-6       S 3-7        S 4-9        S 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5689                      4894
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  6                     S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26332                     33159
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$