038
FXAK67 PAJK 172329
AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
329 PM AKDT Fri May 17 2024

.SHORT TERM.../through Saturday night/...Overall 500mb pattern
has a weak low tracking out of the area with a ridge building back
up for Saturday. This ridge is all ahead of the next system that
will arrive on Sunday.

As the weak low tracks SE, lingering isolated to scattered showers
will last into Friday night. But as the low moves farther away from
SE AK, we`ll lose the upward forcing so showers will fade out. This
will end up giving the panhandle a dry day Saturday with partly
sunny skies.

Because of the surface ridge, general south winds are expected.
Through the short term, winds are expected to be on the lighter side
but late Saturday night, winds could start to pick up ahead of the
next front.

.LONG TERM.../ Sunday through Wednesday night / Frontal band
sweeps through Eastern Gulf of Alaska and the Panhandle. Gale
force winds ahead of the front into the Northeast Gulf Coast, and
then Small Craft Advisory to the inside waters. Trailing showers
and the remains of the low in the Northeast gulf will get moved
into the panhandle Monday. Rain / showers will be tapering off
Monday headed into Tuesday.

High pressure builds into the gulf Tuesday then moving towards the
panhandle Wednesday as yet another front spreads into the western
gulf Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...Cloud cover will continue for the panhandle as we see
some clearing in the skies before clouds could redevelop this
evening. These clouds that are expected to be across the area will
be VFR to MVFR cloud cover. As we head into the day tomorrow,
cloud cover is expected to decrease even more as high pressure
moves into the panhandle. This should allow for some increased sea
breezes during the day tomorrow. Clouds are expected to start to
move in but will be towards the end of the TAF period.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ652-672.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ651-671.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GJS
LONG TERM....Bezenek
AVIATION...SF

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