Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Juneau, AK
Issued by NWS Juneau, AK
447 FXAK67 PAJK 182213 AFDAJK Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 213 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024 .SHORT TERM.../through Sunday night/...Ridge of high pressure slides east tonight ahead of the next system. Surface low pressure will track along the southern coast of Alaska tonight into Sunday. The associated front will swing towards the panhandle, bringing the next round of rain and wind. Rainfall rates and total rainfall amounts aren`t too impressive by SE AK standards. Most areas will see light to moderate rainfall with 24 hour amounts less than a half inch. For areas where the topography usually enhances the rainfall, amounts could be a little more but still less than 1 inch. But overall, not very impactful. Wind speeds along the front will reach near gales in the gulf. And as the front moves inland, wind speeds in the inner channels will reach near 20 to 25 knots. Land areas will likely experience brief gusty winds as the front passes over. .LONG TERM.../ Monday through Thursday night / Progressive pattern continues across the gulf and Southeast Alaska. Residual showers on Monday are being moved out of the area by a ridge across the gulf Tuesday into early Wednesday. With potential breaks, may need to watch for patchy fog development, however, do not have mentioned in forecast at this time. The next front in the pattern will be moving across the gulf Wednesday and looks to be pushing into the panhandle Thursday. This front is not looking as strong as the mid week one, so just anticipating light rain and minor increase in the winds. && .AVIATION...Residual shower activity in the morning with marginal VFR conditions transitioned to VFR clear and calm. Weather moves back in on Sunday with instrument conditions from the Icy Strait corridor northward & along the northeast Gulf Coast with precipitation across all of Southeast Alaska. Minor turbulence late Sunday morning for NE Gulf Coast as front moves in with LLWS. && .AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 7 AM AKDT Sunday for AKZ320-321. MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ644-651-652-671-672. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-032-033-053-642-643-661>664. && $$ SHORT TERM...GJS LONG TERM....Bezenek AVIATION...PRB Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau