Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
395
FNUS53 KAPX 260647
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
247 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024
...Shower chances increase late today/tonight...
.DISCUSSION...Filtered sunshine this morning will give way to
increasing/thickening cloud cover this afternoon in advance of low
pressure approaching from the southwest. Min RHs this afternoon
range from 30-40% across interior areas with increasingly breezy
southeast winds. Shower chances arrive after 4pm in far southwestern
areas before progressing across the remainder of the northern MI
this evening/overnight. Shower chances may linger across parts of
the area through Monday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-262015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
247 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 32 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (831).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (88).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.34 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200Chance of rain showers after
1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming
light. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the west
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.27- 0.61 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
247 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 10 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (384).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 83-88 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (83).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.36 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
becoming light. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (480).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the southwest
around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.66 in.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-262015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
247 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (909).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (87).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.49 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......40 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (415).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northwest around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.20- 0.51 in.
$$
MIZ031>033-262015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
247 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 11 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 11 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1161).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (92).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.59 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the morning
becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (594).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west
around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.33 in.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
247 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (793).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (112).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.39 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
becoming light. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (590).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west around
18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.39 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MJG