602
FNUS53 KAPX 281823
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
223 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

...Precipitation free chances build this Wednesday along with
lower RH`s...

.DISCUSSION...

A few lingering showers mainly near Saginaw Bay remain possible late
overnight tonight/early Wednesday morning as high pressure builds
across the Great Lakes Region. High temperatures will climb to the
upper 60s for most areas Wednesday while RH`s will drop to the low
20s across interior parts of northern lower. Northerly winds will be
light gusting below 10mph, but turning of the winds remain possible
as there is the chance of lake breeze development.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-290815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
223 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent...except 32-37 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (642).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (435).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-290815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
223 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400Slight chance of rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (639).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (571).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-290815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
223 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (583).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (353).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-290815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
223 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (56).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (693).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent...except 35-40 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (460).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-290815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
223 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400Slight chance of rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (808).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Patchy frost after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (633).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SJC