Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
995 FNUS73 KBIS 291137 FWSBIS Spot Forecast for Mt Moriah...USFWS National Weather Service Bismarck ND 637 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 29. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Developing low pressure to our west will result in increasing southeast winds across the region today. Mainly dry conditions today with increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms later today through tonight. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 71. Min humidity........45 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 23 mph. Gusts up to 31 mph in the late morning and early afternoon. Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 26 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (85300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........1 2 4 4 2 1 5 9 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............55 60 62 65 67 69 70 71 RH..............73 62 60 56 50 47 45 46 20 FT wind dir..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..15 17 18 18 19 20 21 23 20 FT wind gust.19 24 25 25 26 26 27 28 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.7 Transp wind dir.S S S S S SE SE SE Transp wind spd.18 20 21 21 22 24 24 26 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 Dispr kt-ft/1K..24 33 46 52 64 75 76 85 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 26 percent. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2 until 0400, then 3. Min temperature.....Around 56. Max humidity........87 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 21 to 22 mph with gusts to around 31 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 24 to 28 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (87300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (12400 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........14 11 16 16 21 41 52 59 46 56 75 75 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 40 40 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 Temp............70 70 67 63 61 60 60 59 59 59 58 59 RH..............47 47 52 60 65 67 64 67 67 67 72 69 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S 20 FT wind spd..22 21 21 21 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 20 FT wind gust.28 28 28 28 28 30 31 31 31 31 31 30 Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.8 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.28 28 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 26 25 24 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 Dispr kt-ft/1K..87 68 26 15 12 13 14 14 16 17 14 13 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. Chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................26 percent increasing to 91 percent in the morning, then decreasing to 17 percent in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. LAL.................3 until 1000, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 68. Min humidity........50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 17 to 21 mph with gusts to around 30 mph shifting to the west 13 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 18 to 24 mph shifting to the west 16 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (73300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........79 84 80 48 Weather cov.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC CWR.............30 90 90 20 Chc of pcpn (%).40 90 90 20 LAL.............3 3 2 2 Temp............58 60 60 64 RH..............77 87 93 67 20 FT wind......S 21G30 S 18G26 W 15G20 W 13G20 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1100 1600 3700 Transport wind..S 24 S 21 W 17 W 16 Haines index....3 3 4 4 Dispr kt-ft/1K..12 19 24 53 $$ Forecaster...HEINERT Requested by...Jeff Dion Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415272.0/BIS .Dealt 05/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jeff_dion