523
FNUS75 KBOU 282231
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Turkey Tracks 3...Pueblo Interagency Dispatch
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
431 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

For the next few hours, expect winds S to SE at 5-10 mph with
gusts to 20-25 mph. Shower activity continues with nearby showers
and a few storms through 8 PM. Nearby storms may produce erratic
wind gusts for brief periods and lightning.

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................27 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........71
Weather cov.....LKY
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........CHC
CWR.............30
LAL.............4
Temp............63
RH..............33
20 FT wind dir..E
20 FT wind spd..9
20 FT wind gust.15
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6
Transp wind dir.E
Transp wind spd.12
Haines index....3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..46
SmokeDispersion.F

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2100, then
                    slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms
                    until 2300.
CWR.................11 percent decreasing to 1 percent after 3 am.
LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2300, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6 mph until 1900. Southwest
                    after 0400. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms until 2300.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL until 1900. Below 1000 FT AGL after
                    2100.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph until 2000, then 8 to 11 mph
                    until 2300, then 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78  73  69  59  54  55  35  27  24  22  19  17
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............4   4   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  57  54  52  50  47  46  45  43  42  41  41
RH..............37  47  55  61  69  75  82  86  90  91  95  91
20 FT wind dir..E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   7   7   9   12  12  13  13  13  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.10  8   8   8   9   10  10  10  12  13  13  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..41  21  10  5   5   6   7   6   7   8   8   8
SmokeDispersion.F   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 0900, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1100 until 1200, then chance
                    of rain showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................7 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800, then 2400 ft AGL
                    until 1000, then 4700 ft AGL until 1100, then
                    12600 ft AGL until 1300, then 14200 ft AGL
                    until 1600, then 10500 ft AGL until 1700, then
                    7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 18 mph until 1100, then west 16
                    to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good until 1100, then
                    excellent until 1700, then very good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  15  25  30  37  41  55  60  62  67  64  60
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  0   0   10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............41  44  49  54  62  66  69  71  71  72  70  68
RH..............95  84  71  56  36  27  21  19  18  18  22  24
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  13  15  15  15  15  15  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.4 2.4 4.7 11  13  14  14  13  11  7.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.13  13  16  16  18  18  18  18  18  20  17  16
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   9   20  34  75  174 212 229 229 223 157 103
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   G   E   E   E   E   E   E   VG

$$
Forecaster...Mensch
Requested by...PIDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415233.0/BOU
.DELDT 05/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL copbc@firenet.gov