396
FNUS51 KBUF 211733
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
133 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Mid-summer warmth will continue today with well above normal
temperatures and elevated humidity levels. With the very warm
conditions and humidity it will also support some showers and
thunderstorm well inland from the lakes. A greater threat for
showers and storms arrives Wednesday as a cold front approaches the
region. Cooler more comfortable weather can be expected Thursday
into the first part of the Memorial Day weekend. Unsettled weather
then makes a return on Sunday.

NYZ201-212000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
133 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     30           30           60
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Max/Min Temp                       88           62           87
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  8        SW  6        SW  9
Precip amount                    0.04         0.02         0.10
Precip duration                     1            1            4
Precip begin                     8 AM   Continuing         2 PM
Precip end                 Continuing        10 PM   Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               38          100           37
Haines Index                        4            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           8820                      7640
Transport wind (kt)             SW 17        SW 12        SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              149940            0       129880
Dispersion Index                  150            0          130
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-212000-
Southern Tier-
133 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           70
Precip type                      None         None        Tstms
Max/Min Temp                       87           61           86
AM Wind (mph)                    S  6                     SW  8
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  9        SW  5        SW 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.31
Precip duration                                               5
Precip begin                                               1 PM
Precip end                                           Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               34           99           38
Haines Index                        4            4
LAL                                 4            3            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)          10550                      7810
Transport wind (kt)             SW 18        SW 11        SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              189900            0       140580
Dispersion Index                  190            0          141
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$