761
FNUS51 KBUF 211434
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Mid-summer warmth will be upon the Lower Lakes today with well above
normal temperatures and elevated humidity levels. With the mild
conditions and humidity today it will also support some showers and
thunderstorm well inland from the lakes. A greater threat for
showers and storms arrives Wednesday as a cold front approaches the
region. Cooler more comfortable weather can be expected Thursday
into the first part of the Memorial Day weekend. Unsettle weather
then makes a return on Sunday.

NYZ201-212000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1033 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     30            0           60
Precip type                     Tstms         None        Tstms
Max/Min Temp                       88           63           88
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  5
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  7        SW  5        SW  9
Precip amount                    0.03         0.00         0.11
Precip duration                     1                         2
Precip begin                     8 AM                      1 PM
Precip end                       6 PM                Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               38           97           37
Haines Index                        4            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           9220                      8840
Transport wind (kt)             SW 19        SW 10        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              175180            0       132600
Dispersion Index                  175            0          133
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-212000-
Southern Tier-
1033 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           70
Precip type                      None         None        Tstms
Max/Min Temp                       87           62           87
AM Wind (mph)                   SW  6                     SW  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  9        SW  5        SW 10
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.21
Precip duration                                               4
Precip begin                                              11 AM
Precip end                                           Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               35           93           36
Haines Index                        4            3            4
LAL                                 4            3            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)          10440                      8210
Transport wind (kt)             SW 19        SW 10        SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              198360            0       147780
Dispersion Index                  198            0          148
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$