Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA
Issued by NWS State College, PA
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988 FXUS61 KCTP 280234 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 1034 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A deep storm system over eastern Canada will bring cooler temperatures to the region into mid week. There will be a chance of showers from time to time over the next few days, but much of the time will be rain free. A warming trend will set in for late in the week, with a chance of showers by next weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... The threat of severe weather has ended across the region. Isolated showers will be possible still, as colder air works into the region. Temperatures over the far southeast will be slow to cool off, as the front is just into central areas as of late evening. Winds have weaken the last few hours, but will likely kick up at times, as the cooler air works into the region. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/... An upper level trough rotating around a deep upper level low over eastern Hudson Bay will bring cooler temperatures to the Keystone state on Tuesday. Expect winds to pick up and clouds to increase, as the strong late May sun heats up the airmass. Least likely area to see showers on Tuesday will be the southeast. An isolated thunderstorm will be possible. Temps may peak only in the low 60s across the highest terrain of the north and west with 70s in the Central and Southern Valleys. Westerly winds will frequently gust into the upper teens to low 20s (KTS). && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Below normal temperatures will prevail into Thursday, with mainly dry conditions. A warming trend will set in for late week, with a chance of showers by the weekend into early next weekend. The activity looks to be weaker and less widespread in nature than in recent weeks, as the airmass will be much cooler and less humid than in recent days. && .AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Only an isolated shower left as of late evening. Main issue late tonight into Tuesday will be lower CIGS over the mountains, mainly at BFD and JST. Low CIGS less likely elsewhere. Cooling aloft will result in some showers, and gusty winds from late morning into the afternoon hours on Tuesday. Outlook... Wed...Brief restrictions are possible in scattered showers, but much of the time should be VFR. Thu-Sat...Predominantly VFR. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Martin NEAR TERM...Martin SHORT TERM...Martin LONG TERM...Martin AVIATION...Martin