739
FNUS28 KWNS 282053
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Valid 301200Z - 051200Z

... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the
next week ...

A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week
will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No
synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow,
leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface
winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations
in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern
periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally
elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day --
especially given the single-digit relative humidity.

By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a
larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States.
The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an
increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will
occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate
widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this
developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future
updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of
critical fire weather conditions.

..Marsh.. 05/28/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$