Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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819
FNUS28 KWNS 242208
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0506 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

Valid 261200Z - 011200Z

Moderate westerly flow aloft and a weak lee cyclone over the
central/southern High Plains will bring Elevated to locally Critical
fire-weather conditions on D3/Sunday to portions of New Mexico,
western Texas, and southern Arizona. Latest guidance shows little
confidence in sustained critical wind speeds, supporting maintaining
40 percent probabilities. Given potential for relative humidity in
the single digits to teens and fuels in the 90th percentile, this
potential will be closely monitored for inclusion of higher risk
areas should trends change.

A large-scale ridge will build over the West beyond D3/Sunday,
generally limiting fire-weather concerns over the Desert Southwest
and High Plains where fuels are the driest for the remainder of the
extended forecast period.

..Thornton.. 05/24/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$