Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
203 ACUS48 KWNS 270843 SWOD48 SPC AC 270841 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... On the leading edge of a slowly progressive regime emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, it appears that larger-scale mid-level troughing will contribute to the suppression of amplified downstream mid-level ridging across the Northwestern Ontario/Upper Midwest vicinity late this week. Thereafter, potential flow evolution across the eastern Pacific through North America next weekend into early next week becomes highly uncertain due to continuing sizable spread within/among the various medium-range model output. Undoubtedly, there will developing areas of sufficient destabilization and shear to support at least some risk for organized severe weather on a daily basis. However, there is little indication at this time that this risk will exceed seasonal norms, at least on a regional scale. ..Kerr.. 05/27/2024