Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
406
FNUS73 KDLH 262245
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
545 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on May 26.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Search site and General Ely Forecast -
A line of scattered showers are currently located southeast of the
Ely Airport, with the axis of precipitation oriented from Skibo
to the Lake Insula. These showers wil continue to be possible
through the evening until around 1100 PM for both the Ely Airport
and search area. While lightning was observed earlier this
afternoon near Skibo, the potential for lightning occurring near
or at the Ely airport this evening is low (15% chance). Lightning
is not expected near the search area at this time.
Southeast winds this evening behind a lake breeze will be shifting
to the north tonight into early Monday morning with patchy dense
fog occurring. Additional rain showers will be moving into the
Arrowhead tomorrow afternoon, with an isolated thunderstorm
possible in the late afternoon.
Ely Visibility and Ceilings -
VFR ceilings are expected this evening into early tonight. Patchy
dense fog in the vicinity of KELO may result in IFR to LIFR
visibility late tonight into early Monday morning. LIFR ceilings
are expected to accompany any dense fog that develops. Once fog
dissipates in the mid morning hours tomorrow, VFR conditions will
return. Scattered showers will arrive in the afternoon tomorrow.
An isolated thunderstorm may be possible, but the potential is low
(less than 10% chance).
To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call
1-800-992-7433.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) briefly becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy dense fog
after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......25 percent.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (kft).......9.5 decreasing to 8.5 early in the evening,
then increasing to 9.5 late in the evening
increasing to 11 overnight decreasing to 9.6
increasing to 11 after 3 am decreasing to 0.3
decreasing to 0.2 early in the morning.
Visibility (sm).....10 decreasing to 1.00.
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC MC MC
Weather cov.....SCHC PTY PTY
Weather type....RNSHWR FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).25 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).15 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............63 60 57 55 53 51 49 47 45 44 44
RH..............54 62 75 83 89 93 89 96 100 100 96
Surface wnd dir.E SE SE SE SE N NE NE N N N
Surface wnd spd.4 4 4 3 3 1 2 2 1 1 1
Surface wnd gst.12 8 12 12 7 3 5 5 5 5 5
Ceiling (kft)...9.5 8.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 11 9.6 11 0.3 0.2
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 1.0 1.0
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy dense fog
early in the morning. Slight chance of rain
showers early in the afternoon. Chance of rain
showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming north 6 to 9 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Ceiling (kft).......0.2 increasing to 0.3 early in the morning,
then increasing to 5.8 late in the morning
increasing to 11 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 9.5 decreasing to 8.5 late in the
afternoon decreasing to 7.3 increasing to 8.5
late in the afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....1.00 increasing to 10 early in the morning.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....FOG NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 30 50
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 49 60 65 66 66
RH..............100 89 60 50 47 48
Surface wind....N 2 N 3 N 4 N 7 N 8 N 9
Surface wnd gst.5 6 10 12 13 15
Ceiling (kft)...0.2 0.3 5.8 5.8 9.5 7.3
Visibility (sm).1.0 10 10 10 10 10
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......8.5 decreasing to 5.8.
Visibility (sm).....10 in the evening.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 40 30
Chc of thdr (%).0 10 10 10
Temp............62 54 50 47
RH..............56 77 83 87
Surface wind....NW 9G15 NW 8G15 NW 7G15 NW 7G14
Ceiling (kft)...8.5 7.3
Visibility (sm).10 10
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph in
the afternoon.
Ceiling (kft).......MISSING.
Visibility (sm).....MISSING.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30 50 50
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10
Temp............45 52 55
RH..............88 77 67
Surface wind....NW 7G14 NW 10G17 N 11G21
Ceiling (kft)...
Visibility (sm).
$$
Forecaster...Woody
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.5/DLH
.DELDT 05/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 7296@slcrs.org,7310@slcrs.org,7111@slcrs.org,7337@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us,7101@slcrs.org,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,Emergency@slcrs.org,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov