229
FNUS73 KDLH 200835
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for SAR BWCA...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
335 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0400 CDT on May 20.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

As rain showers move into the BWCA from the southwest, ceilings
will continue to decrease. Currently around 6000 ft, ceilings are
expected to lower to 1000 ft by late morning. These low ceilings
will persist until this evening, where there may be a couple hour
window of VFR conditions before decreasing again by 9-10pm.
Visibility will remain above 6 SM except under heavier rain
showers and brief patchy fog possible late tonight.

Sprinkles will reach the BWCA shortly, and scattered light rain
showers will begin 7-8am. Chances for on and off rain showers
will persist until this evening, and there will be a break until
heavier rain showers move in Tuesday late morning to early
afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (kft).......5.9.
Visibility (sm).....10.

TIME (CDT)      4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50
Chc of thdr (%).10  10
Temp............47  47
RH..............90  88
Surface wnd dir.S   SE
Surface wnd spd.1   2
Surface wnd gst.3   5
Ceiling (kft)...6.8 5.9
Visibility (sm).9   9

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely in
                    the morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (kft).......5.1 decreasing to 3.0 early in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 2.1 late in the morning
                    decreasing to 1.0 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon increasing to 1.6.
Visibility (sm).....6 increasing to 8 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60     60     50     30     20     30
Chc of thdr (%).10     0      0      0      10     10
Temp............48     50     54     56     60     61
RH..............86     89     86     86     78     75
Surface wind....E 2    E 3    E 3    SE 4   S 3    NW 3
Surface wnd gst.6      9      9      8      8      7
Ceiling (kft)...5.1    3.0    1.1    1.1    1.2    1.6
Visibility (sm).8      7      7      8      10     10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (kft).......2.3 increasing to 3.0 early in the evening,
                    then decreasing to 2.2 overnight decreasing to
                    1.6 after 3 am.
Visibility (sm).....9 decreasing to 7 overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        10        10        0
Chc of thdr (%).10        10        10        0
Temp............62        55        52        48
RH..............72        86        89        96
Surface wind....NW 3G8    NW 3G7    NW 2G6    N 3G6
Ceiling (kft)...2.3       3.3       3.2       2.2
Visibility (sm).10        10        8         7

$$
Forecaster...Krystal
Requested by...Josh Brinkman
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414628.2/DLH
.DELDT 05/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brinkmanj@stlouiscountymn.gov