Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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586
FNUS73 KDLH 250947 CCA
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Duluth MN
447 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on May 25.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Search site and General Ely Forecast -

Clouds will gradually diminish this morning to partly sunny skies.
Winds will start out southwest 8 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
early and remain west to southwest through the day increasing in speed
some to 10 to 15 mph with gusts near 30 mph. Temperatures will
rise from the lower forties into the lower sixties this afternoon.
There is a 20 percent chance for an afternoon shower or
thunderstorm, mainly around the Ely area. There may also be some
light rain or drizzle early this morning.

There will be a 30 percent chance for a shower or thunderstorm
tonight with lows in the lower forties. Winds will diminish and
become light and variable overnight.

Rain amounts both this afternoon and tonight will be highly
dependent on if a shower/storm affects the site directly but
should be less than an a tenth of an inch.

Ely Visibility and Ceilings -

MVFR ceilings will lift and become scattered by late morning with
VFR conditions for most of the late morning into tonight. A cumulus
field will develop by late morning/early afternoon and bases should
start out around 3000ft and rise to 5000ft. Enough cumulus may form
for a 1 or 2 hour period of broken ceilings. Gusty west to southwest
winds will occur with gusts of 23 to 29 mph.

To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call
1-800-992-7433.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 10 to 14 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph.
Ceiling (kft).......1.8 increasing to 3.0 late in the morning, then 5.0
                    by mid afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....10.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  MCR PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Chc of thdr (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............41  43  44  45  49  51  55  59  61  62  63  64
RH..............85  82  79  76  66  63  57  47  44  44  43  43
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.10  11  11  12  13  13  13  14  14  14  13  12
Surface wnd gst.23  23  24  24  25  26  28  28  28  26  25  23
Ceiling (kft)...1.3 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.5 3.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph early in the evening becoming light.
Ceiling (kft).......11 increasing to 14 early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 11 late in the evening increasing
                    to 14 overnight decreasing to 11.
Visibility (sm).....10.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     20
Chc of thdr (%).10     10     10     10     20     10
Temp............63     61     53     50     46     44
RH..............46     51     71     80     86     89
Surface wind....W 10   W 7    W 3    W 2    W 2    S 1
Surface wnd gst.21     14     8      6      5      3
Ceiling (kft)...11     14     12     14     11     11
Visibility (sm).10     10     10     10     10     10

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (kft).......10 in the morning.
Visibility (sm).....10 in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        20        20        20
Chc of thdr (%).10        10        10        10
Temp............44        54        62        65
RH..............93        71        51        44
Surface wind....E 1G3     S 2G6     SW 4G8    NW 4G10
Ceiling (kft)...11        11
Visibility (sm).10        10

$$
Forecaster...Dean M
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.5/DLH
.DELDT 05/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 7337@slcrs.org,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,7101@slcrs.org,7296@slcrs.org,7310@slcrs.org,7111@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us,Emergency@slcrs.org,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov