Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
923 FNUS73 KDLH 191040 FWSDLH Spot Forecast for NBWA Unit 46...WI DNR National Weather Service Duluth MN 540 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 19. If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653. .DISCUSSION... The morning will start out clear, but will become increasingly cloudy as a low pressure approaches the Northland. Ahead of this system, however, we are still under a high pressure and dry conditions will precede the low system. Minimum RHs this afternoon will be in the mid 20s. Winds, however will be on the lighter side today, remaining below 10 mph. There is a slight chance for some sprinkles later this afternoon, but it may fall as virga to begin before finally reaching the ground this evening as the system battles the dry air. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of sprinkles late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph. Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph shifting to the south 12 to 14 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (45600-58600 knot-ft). Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............67 70 72 73 74 75 73 73 RH..............42 35 31 29 28 27 30 31 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.8 9 11 9 9 9 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.2 4.9 Transp wind dir.W W W SW SW S S S Transp wind spd.16 15 14 10 12 12 12 14 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/100046 58 59 47 56 56 52 59 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the evening, then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2 until 0400, then 3. Min temperature.....Around 52. Max humidity........96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am. Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL early in the evening. Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (13900-32400 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (3400 knot-ft) early in the evening. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.48 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 30 40 70 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 3 Temp............72 65 60 57 56 55 RH..............35 46 58 67 72 80 20 ft wind......S 5 S 4 SE 4 SE 3 SE 4 SE 5 20 ft wind gust.9 7 7 7 9 11 Mix hgt (ft)....2900 500 400 400 600 600 Transport wind..S 13 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 12 SE 12 Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100032 5 3 4 6 6 .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................3 until 1000, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........61 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the southwest early in the afternoon, then shifting to the northwest 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph shifting to the west around 9 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6300-19500 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.15 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY Weather cov.....DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).80 60 40 30 30 30 LAL.............3 3 2 2 2 2 Temp............53 56 62 66 68 70 RH..............96 93 81 75 70 63 20 ft wind......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 SW 5 N 4 20 ft wind gust.11 11 11 9 8 7 Mix hgt (ft)....600 800 1200 1700 2200 2400 Transport wind..SE 12 SE 13 S 13 S 10 S 9 W 9 Haines index....4 3 3 3 3 3 SDspl kt-ft/10006 8 13 15 17 20 $$ Forecaster...Krystal Requested by...Kirby Dernovsek Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414599.0/DLH .DELDT 05/19/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kirby.dernovsek@wisconsin.gov