Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
128
FNUS73 KDLH 022340
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
640 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on June 02.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Search site and General Ely Forecast -
Skies are continuing to cloud up this evening, as storms are
developing over central and eastern North Dakota. Early evening
temperatures in the low to mid 70s, with southerly winds with
gusts 15 to 20 mph. Thunderstorms over North Dakota will move east
overnight to affect the search and Ely areas, likely moving
through between midnight and 4 AM. We currently expect it to lose
a lot of its strength by the time it moves this far east with main
threats being lightning, moderate rainfall, and some breezy winds
of 40 to 50 mph. Depending on how storms track some minor
flooding/ponding will be possible.
Rain to move out of the area fairly quickly Monday morning, though
clouds and afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible.
Ely Visibility and Ceilings -
Initial VFR conditions this evening. Conditions begin to
deteriorate after midnight as the line of showers and storms enter
from the west. Currently expect this line to breach Ely after
midnight with ceilings quickly falling to MVFR thereafter.
Ceilings and visibilities to lift to VFR by 18z Monday, if not
sooner.
To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call
1-800-992-7433
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening, then rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
overnight.
Ceiling (kft).......>20 in the evening, then decreasing to 11 late in
the evening decreasing to 6.3 overnight, decreasing
to 3.2 after 3 am decreasing to 1.5.
Visibility (sm).....8.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 30 40 60 80 100 90 80 70
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 40 40 40 30 30
Temp............71 70 69 65 62 61 60 59 58 58 57 57
RH..............43 44 45 50 56 60 67 72 80 80 86 90
Surface wnd dir.S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
Surface wnd spd.7 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10
Surface wnd gst.15 17 18 17 17 18 18 20 20 20 20 18
Ceiling (kft)...16 21 20 20 18 11 9.3 6.3 4.3 3.2 1.7 1.5
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 9
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...34 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......0.9 for the morning increasing to 1.9 early in
the afternoon then increasing to 4.9 late in the
afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....8 decreasing to 5 early in the morning, then
increasing to 7 early in the afternoon
increasing to 9 late in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 30 20 20 20
Chc of thdr (%).30 30 30 20 20 20
Temp............56 58 62 68 71 74
RH..............96 96 87 73 63 57
Surface wind....S 10 S 9 S 8 S 8 SW 7 SW 6
Surface wnd gst.17 17 16 16 15 14
Ceiling (kft)...0.9 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.9 4.9
Visibility (sm).9 6 5 7 9 10
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...19 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (kft).......11 increasing to 15 in the evening, then
decreasing to 11 overnight decreasing to 9.4
overnight decreasing to 7.8 decreasing to 6.1
after 3 am.
Visibility (sm).....8.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE FOG
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 0 10
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 0 10
Temp............74 65 58 55
RH..............57 81 100 100
Surface wind....SW 4G10 SE 2G6 SE 2G5 SE 2G5
Ceiling (kft)...11 17 13 7.8
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 8
$$
Forecaster...Linda
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.11/DLH
.DELDT 06/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov,7111@slcrs.org,7296@slcrs.org,7337@slcrs.org,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us,7310@slcrs.org,Emergency@slcrs.org,7101@slcrs.org