475
FXXX01 KWNP 192201
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2024 May 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to
19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
19/1756Z from Region 3685 (S13E29). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one and two (20 May,
21 May) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a
slight chance for an X-class flare on day three (22 May).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 438 km/s at 19/1148Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 19/1417Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
19/1254Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 406 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (20 May), unsettled to
active levels on day two (21 May) and quiet levels on day three (22
May). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (20 May, 21 May, 22 May).