239
FNUS53 KDTX 041957
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
357 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms
starting late tonight, but they become much more likely by
Wednesday. A cold front will sweep across the area in the afternoon
and evening bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms.
Precipitation chances continue through the end of the week as a low
pressure system parks itself over the region. This will bring below
normal temperatures while keeping minimum RH values around 50
percent.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
357 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of showers
                    after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (28).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers likely
                    until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3230-3730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph becoming west early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (782).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5930-6430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1552).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
357 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 am. Showers after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (907).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......980-1180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6220-6720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1479).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
357 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 am. Showers after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3570-4070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (766).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6910-7410 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1683).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.

$$

DRK