615
FNUS53 KDTX 260723
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
323 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...Initially dry conditions will continue today with RH
values dropping to near 40 percent. However, showers and
thunderstorms are expected to overspread the area between 4 pm and 6
pm with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms persisting tonight
into Monday. Cooler and unsettled conditions will then persist into
Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper low pressure system pivots
southeast into the region.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-262115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
323 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast around 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (999).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......610-810 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (50).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3070-3570 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (874).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-262115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
323 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4330-4830 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (837).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers likely after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (41).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 pm. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3190-3690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (964).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-262115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
323 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast 10 to
                    15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4850-5350 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast around 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1090).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers until
                    2 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......550-750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (38).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3780-4280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1013).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.

$$

DG