450
FNUS53 KDTX 251942
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
342 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry and sunny afternoon with minimum RH values falling
to around 35 to 40 percent. Dry weather continues into Sunday where
RH values again drop to into the 40 percent range. The next low
pressure system brings showers and storms to the area Sunday night
into Monday. Cooler and unsettled conditions then follow Tuesday
into Wednesday as a trough sets up over the region.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-260800-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
342 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming east in the
                    late evening and early morning, then becoming
                    southeast after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4510-5010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (939).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers until
                    2 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely
                    after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (45).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 15 mph becoming west in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3570-4070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1047).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-260800-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
342 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....46-50.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3730-4230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (757).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 am. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 pm
                    until 5 am. Rain showers likely after 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming south around 10
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......530-730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (44).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 pm. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3360-3860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (872).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-260800-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
342 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3930-4430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (870).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 pm. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3710-4210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming west
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (969).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.

$$

TF