262
FNUS73 KDTX 241048
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for HHGC woods part 3...City of Ann Arbor, NAP
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
648 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure hold across the region today.
Temperatures will rise from around 50 this morning into the low 80s
in the afternoon which helps humidity drop down to around 30 percent
on light SE wind. Rain showers become likely tonight with a chance
of thunderstorms into Saturday morning. Dry weather Saturday
afternoon continues into early Sunday until the next round of
showers and unsettled weather arrives later Sunday through Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds...becoming southeast up to 5 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then increasing to around 6 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph...becoming south 9 to 12
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........5 to 6 OR moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Good (MAX...479).

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3   2   3   4   8   13  15  14  18  22  35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............54  59  67  71  74  76  78  80  81  82  82
RH..............71  66  51  44  40  36  35  33  33  32  32
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.2 2.5 3.6 4.7 5.6 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.5
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
SMOKE DISPER....20  22  86  224 287 378 447 527 522 513 551

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent)becoming mostly
                    cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    evening, then showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 6 OR low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...32).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........38     29     43     51     73     74
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............81     75     68     64     63     62
RH..............34     42     53     65     74     84
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     S
EYE LVL WND SPD.6      7      6      6      5      5
EYE LVL WND GST.11     12     11     10     10     10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4800   600    600    500    400    400
HAINES INDEX....6      4      4      4      3      3
SMOKE DISPER....478    66     67     56     45     37

$$
Forecaster...Gurney
Requested by...Tina Stephens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415039.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tstephens@a2gov.org