619
FNUS21 KWNS 260627
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...Synopsis...
Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this
afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High
Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by
overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place
across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable
moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry
conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared
to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift
east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure
across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing
along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly
winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and
TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat
widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western
TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of
minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions -
namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer -
suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this
potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained
20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas.

..Moore.. 05/26/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$