Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
063
FNUS21 KWNS 191650
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Valid 191700Z - 201200Z

The previous forecast remains on track, and only minor changes were
made with this update. In particular, the Elevated highlights were
expanded slightly southward in central AZ, where modestly dry/breezy
conditions are expected over recent/ongoing fires.

..Weinman.. 05/19/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0217 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024/

...Synopsis...
Mid-level troughing will amplify across the western CONUS today.
Meanwhile, a mid-level speed max will accelerate from the Southwest
into the southern Plains. As a result, lee cyclogenesis is
anticipated in the central High Plains. This will lead to dry and
breezy conditions across much of the central CONUS, but especially
across the Southwest and into the southern High Plains. Sustained
winds of 15 to 25 mph are expected across eastern New Mexico and
perhaps into the TX/OK Panhandles and far southeast Colorado where
single digit relative humidity is likely. Fuels across eastern New
Mexico and vicinity are only marginally dry after recent rainfall,
but will continue to dry during the day. Therefore, with low-end
Critical meteorological conditions and marginally dry fuels, an
Elevated delineation is warranted.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$