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Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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714 WUUS01 KWNS 190558 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1256 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2024 VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 25837967 26018026 26588047 27218076 27568110 28528116 28888090 28928074 28727995 0.02 38920115 39390064 39809965 40389788 40749695 41049562 41119404 41029311 40949280 40709234 40399237 40319235 39849297 39209447 38499533 37199608 35909715 35619768 35509834 35669947 35890016 36450048 36990094 37380126 37860145 38920115 0.05 38890029 39609848 39809767 39899684 39849618 39269590 38129645 36549758 35979835 35909875 36079962 36599984 37200040 37690088 38140104 38360077 38890029 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 25107986 25678077 26568146 26558192 26978232 28288260 29288184 30068171 30938229 32418239 32828199 32828107 32628035 32067955 0.05 44270354 46420120 46640061 46869992 46829915 46589828 46399762 45099649 44689497 44049395 43279350 42239202 41459097 40899095 40219131 40019183 39719269 38589368 37429434 35999487 35239620 34459894 34289918 34289975 34440004 35200059 36250140 36720214 37470246 38440277 39880301 41690375 43210383 44270354 0.15 41079393 40689344 40089375 38929484 37609597 36749668 35819795 35549906 35559979 36020048 36820151 37160179 37710189 38860210 40050236 41350254 43560221 44430198 45210132 45750065 46219999 46249944 46149907 46049901 45319917 44639958 44110011 42930031 41860039 40960014 40599967 40379876 40459759 40639706 41149623 41249561 41209453 41079393 0.15 25887960 26168033 26808056 27168084 27258133 27578152 28348129 28848095 29028010 0.30 38699964 39299911 39559830 39589778 39639727 38279740 37239793 36489845 35899930 36059992 36760029 37180035 37830009 38699964 SIGN 38499680 35879817 35599897 35579973 36900111 37730141 39269992 39669882 39879726 39809675 38499680 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28978376 30088281 32088253 32538239 32778203 32738127 31847990 99999999 25117986 25718085 26118164 26198266 0.05 44180357 45210241 46439990 46619914 46689839 46349770 45309787 44209819 43159823 42599757 42599683 42709493 42249230 41489093 40819101 40249142 40179291 38949378 37209420 35849527 35269635 35069741 34359877 34229941 34400009 35640099 36630190 37460245 38320238 39720282 40890398 41150456 41780471 42680448 43390408 44180357 0.15 39390202 40400223 42970287 44270255 44770201 45200134 45480019 45109942 43010007 41590008 40530014 40399926 40469859 41119660 41089566 40759484 40089462 39349462 38639474 37999501 36689674 35719794 35369876 35389982 36070056 36720149 37430194 37970198 38840197 39390202 0.30 38870070 39509831 39709756 39649666 39149574 38809578 38059608 37359664 36939726 36509817 36189896 36129971 36800063 37200143 37660151 38110146 38550104 38870070 0.45 38040092 38590017 38929867 39119754 38869672 38039698 37509762 37219861 37199933 37189980 37240030 37610091 38040092 SIGN 38860081 39519837 39959738 40149645 40059568 39419515 38579542 37789564 37119633 35769797 35559875 35609964 36330058 36680120 37010159 37760171 38310141 38860081 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 38590017 38929867 39119754 38869672 38039698 37509762 37219861 37189980 37240030 37610091 38040092 38590017 ENH 38110146 38870070 39559830 39709756 39649666 39149574 38809578 38059608 37359664 36939726 36269877 35899930 36059992 36420011 36800063 37200143 37660151 38110146 SLGT 25887960 26168033 26808056 27168084 27258133 27578152 28348129 28848095 29028011 SLGT 44270255 44770201 46219999 46249944 46149907 46049901 45319917 44689955 43010007 40940012 40599967 40429897 40469859 41119660 41249561 41209453 41079393 40689344 40089375 39119466 38639474 37999501 35719794 35369876 35389982 36070056 36720149 37430194 38190198 40050236 41530251 42970287 44270255 MRGL 28998374 30088281 32088253 32538239 32778203 32868159 32828107 32628035 32127964 99999999 25107986 26118164 26198266 MRGL 42680448 44270354 46420120 46869992 46829915 46669858 46689839 46399762 45099649 44689497 44049395 43279350 41489093 40899095 40219131 39719269 38589368 38019400 37209420 36679462 35999487 35239620 34689814 34359877 34229941 34400009 35640099 36480176 36720214 38440277 39930303 40890398 41150456 41780471 42680448 TSTM 48699104 47188971 45628831 44708762 44048736 43568710 43398645 43728541 44158394 44718229 45348109 99999999 42508217 40498353 39798527 38848814 37489245 35939308 34719388 34079644 33969791 33789882 33659927 33569972 33950056 36240218 36930300 38070376 38620395 38910422 39220534 39120617 39000826 38611023 38171128 38271235 38391302 38891367 39611337 40301250 41401036 43620670 44920579 45320596 45390692 44910808 44370928 44161074 44261261 44281481 44281611 44561700 45191796 45861869 46661996 48102109 49912235 99999999 29718825 31448775 34478684 37028409 39078129 39088003 38407977 36998024 36068033 35397973 34577788 34257577 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE GCK 10 ENE RSL 25 NNE SLN 20 S MHK 35 NE ICT 15 SW ICT P28 40 SSE DDC 40 ENE LBL 25 SSW GCK 15 NW GCK 55 NNE GCK. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW GCK 60 SW HLC 35 W CNK 10 NNE CNK 35 N MHK 10 NW TOP 20 SSW TOP 20 SSE EMP 50 ESE ICT 15 NNW PNC 35 S AVK 40 N CSM 65 NW CSM 65 SE LBL 25 SE LBL 30 WNW LBL 45 WSW GCK 40 WNW GCK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MIA 25 N MIA 30 WNW PBI 45 SW VRB 30 S AGR 15 WSW AGR 15 S ORL 25 SSE DAB 60 E DAB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE RAP 55 NNW PHP 50 NNE MBG 60 SW JMS 55 NNW ABR 50 NW ABR 40 WSW ABR 40 ENE PIR 25 ENE VTN 30 ESE LBF 35 WSW EAR 20 S EAR 15 SW HSI 20 NNE LNK 15 ESE OMA 50 WSW DSM 30 N LWD 25 E LWD 20 NNW CDJ MKC 15 S OJC 35 NE CNU 30 NW OKC 25 E CSM 35 W CSM 55 ENE BGD GUY 30 N EHA 40 ENE LAA 45 E AKO 40 NE SNY 15 NE CDR 30 ENE RAP. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW CTY 35 NNE CTY 10 SW VDI 25 N VDI 40 S AGS 40 SSE AGS 45 SSW OGB 25 SW CHS 60 SSE CHS ...CONT... 55 SSE MIA 10 ESE APF 55 W APF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E DGW 30 WNW RAP 35 SW BIS 40 E BIS 25 WSW JMS 20 SSE JMS 20 SE JMS 55 SW FAR 15 SSW VVV 10 NNE RWF 15 S MKT 10 NW MCW 20 W MLI 10 NE BRL 20 NNW UIN 30 SSW IRK 10 SW SZL 55 SSW SZL 15 ENE JLN 10 ENE GMJ 35 NE MKO 35 NW MLC 15 E FSI 30 SW FSI 30 SSW LTS 10 E CDS 25 E BGD 20 SW GUY 25 SW EHA 25 N LAA 20 SSE AKO 45 ESE CYS 15 E CYS 35 WSW TOR 45 E DGW. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE ELO 50 NNE IWD 15 SW IMT 30 ENE GRB 15 ESE MTW 50 SE MTW 20 NW MKG 55 NE MKG 35 SW OSC 55 ENE OSC 120 E APN ...CONT... 35 E MTC 35 SSE FDY 30 SSE MIE 45 S MTO 25 SW TBN 25 S HRO 45 WNW HOT 10 NNW DUA 35 E SPS 25 SW SPS 50 WSW SPS 70 SSE CDS 35 SSW CDS 25 NE DHT 30 SW SPD 15 W LHX 40 NE PUB 30 ENE COS 45 NW COS 40 E ASE 15 ESE GJT 25 S U28 35 WSW 4HV 40 ESE MLF MLF 45 NW MLF 45 SSW DPG 25 ENE DPG 35 ENE EVW 50 NNW CPR 40 SSW 4BQ 30 WSW 4BQ 45 N SHR 55 ENE COD 15 SW COD 40 N JAC 25 SW MQM 60 NNW SUN 40 S MYL 45 ESE BKE 25 NNW BKE 15 NNE PDT 30 ENE YKM 65 NW EAT 75 N BLI ...CONT... 65 S MOB 40 W GZH 15 SSW HSV LOZ 20 SSE PKB 15 NW EKN 35 S EKN 25 ESE PSK 25 W GSO 25 WNW SOP 20 N ILM 65 S HSE.