Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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999
WUUS01 KWNS 161253
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2024

VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   27479586 28409682 29099840 29519993 29860030 30470105
       30850266 31670247 32630017 32339848 32139760 32209585
       31909385 31909193 31428940 30938802 30558781 30198775
       29728782 29178806
0.02   36419201 37848931 37558791 36638797 35998942 35709091
       35749196 36419201
0.05   28799437 29659677 30019800 30599912 31249942 31729944
       32149879 31819784 31519398 31229287 30399243 28869275
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   35569017 35239123 35029229 34939393 35299430 35899437
       36529366 37019253 38039059 38318912 38158838 37658790
       37238792 36918811 36018924 35569017
0.05   34100191 34000024 33929920 33489732 33219594 32999398
       32809226 32589142 32219059 31599012 30859047 30349093
       29729169 29699222 29499414 28609619 28329698 28569822
       29309978 30010071 30280164 30780339 32000499 32710532
       33260533 33990467 34360301 34100191
0.05   42599110 43909049 44629006 45048897 44948807 44188779
       43198772 42458796 42088908 41949023 42079086 42599110
0.05   25707931 25707999 25658023 26058099 27078109 27188099
       27568053 27607976
0.15   32870309 33340166 33069828 32829682 32109565 31109504
       29689646 29489739 29609869 30099983 30450105 30930231
       31510338 32870309
0.30   30969982 31370056 32330066 32509963 32489869 32379776
       31319647 30239760 30409861 30969982
SIGN   30980237 31510337 31840325 32300247 32400162 31819883
       31309834 30449830 29979868 29729899 30059975 30510120
       30980237
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   25667928 25618019 25968103 26448107 27038110 27498051
       27557974
0.05   27949540 28459802 29019920 30690147 31100362 31620446
       31940490 32750534 33210534 33940473 34100411 34340296
       34050097 33929918 33539727 33249611 32809229 32289077
       31828987 31408878 31128770 30578715 29308730
0.05   44378775 43308772 42478797 42098922 41929020 42049086
       42689106 43849049 44629003 45028900 44878809 44378775
0.05   35849444 36559366 37119229 38049067 38318915 38148831
       37448771 36698790 35948939 35529028 35229121 34939278
       34919395 35279433 35849444
0.15   33310176 33069833 32729601 32169349 31389180 31069105
       30429105 29739177 29649361 29289465 28789556 28459670
       28579779 29219889 30960078 31290188 32080325 32890311
       33310176
0.30   31939931 32409835 32369774 31869483 31069239 30289232
       30079256 29639615 29839749 30349859 30789930 31939931
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    32509963 32479858 32379775 31899491 31039237 30259227
       30049252 29639615 29839749 30969982 31370057 32330066
       32509963
SLGT   28799437 29049508 28789556 28459670 28579779 29219889
       30129992 30460111 30930231 31510338 32890311 33340166
       33069828 32729601 32169349 31069105 30429105 29739177
       29699258 28959273
MRGL   25657951 25618019 25968103 27078109 27568053 27607976
MRGL   27749613 28179658 28459802 29329981 30000069 30780339
       32000499 32750534 33260533 33990467 34360301 34050097
       33929918 33249607 32809226 32589142 31828987 31408878
       31128770 30578715 29658726
MRGL   36559366 37029251 38049067 38318912 38148831 37448771
       36638797 35569017 35229121 34939278 34919395 35279433
       35849444 36559366
MRGL   43909049 44629006 45048897 44948807 44378775 43198772
       42458796 42088908 41929020 42049086 42599110 43909049
TSTM   50089599 47629493 46129488 45039557 44749767 44649958
       44780176 44930456 45030645 45040756 45260839 45730892
       46630920 47530963 50001197 99999999 31150769 31780962
       31531125 31971187 33611273 34111297 34991329 35361292
       35631192 35521124 35851013 36470982 37660923 40010621
       39780478 38790415 38120416 37320302 37280026 37749643
       41409322 43659257 45169206 46199133 49118937 99999999
       42578190 40348284 37668441 36378554 35148741 33968751
       30618599 29488590 29048612 99999999 27608326 28557984
       99999999 25027970 25168097 25158259 99999999 36588046
       38477970 39097922 39097861 38307799 36867813 36187856
       35967915 35978008 36588046 99999999 40017283 40627276
       41387269 41817200 41736875 99999999 29420195 29760215
       30150266 30760451 30850592

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM ABI 30
NW SEP 25 ENE SEP 35 SSW GGG 25 S ESF 20 WNW LFT 30 NW 7R4 50 W HOU
35 ENE BAZ 30 N JCT SJT 50 E BGS ABI.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
GLS 25 ESE LBX 25 SSW LBX 30 SSE VCT 15 NNW NIR 20 ESE HDO 30 SSW
JCT 70 ENE 6R6 35 E FST 20 SSW INK 15 NNE HOB 25 SSE LBB 25 NNW MWL
45 NW TYR 30 SE SHV 35 WSW MCB 55 WNW MSY 20 E 7R4 30 WSW 7R4 70 SSW
7R4.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE
MIA 15 SSE MIA 50 ESE APF 45 SSE AGR 10 SW VRB 40 E VRB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S
PSX 45 SSW PSX 20 WNW NIR 40 W HDO 45 NNE DRT 30 WSW FST 15 NW GDP
45 E ALM 20 SE SRR 50 N ROW 20 E CVS 45 E PVW 40 W SPS 45 SW PRX 25
NW MLU 35 E MLU 40 NW PIB 35 E PIB 45 WSW GZH PNS 55 S PNS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
UMN 40 WNW UNO 25 NW FAM 15 W MVN 35 ESE MVN 35 WSW OWB 25 W HOP 35
SE JBR 45 SE BVX 30 SE RUE 35 SE FSM FSM 20 SW FYV 25 SSE UMN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W
VOK 20 WSW CWA 35 ENE AUW 30 N GRB 15 NNW MTW 20 NNE MKE 25 SSW RAC
10 S RFD 35 NNE MLI 25 SSW DBQ 25 NW DBQ 10 W VOK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW RRT BJI 30 NE
AXN 40 NW RWF 30 WSW ATY 40 ENE PIR 50 N PHP 55 SE 4BQ 30 NE SHR 35
WNW SHR 40 S BIL 20 WSW BIL 30 SSE LWT 35 NNW LWT 95 N CTB
...CONT... 75 S DMN 20 N DUG 45 SSW TUS 55 W TUS 45 WNW PHX 50 SW
PRC 40 ESE IGM 55 NNW PRC 25 SSE GCN 35 NE FLG 65 NNE INW 80 SSW 4BL
15 ENE 4BL 45 ENE EGE DEN 30 E COS 20 ESE PUB 20 W SPD 35 SSW DDC 45
SSW EMP 10 NW OXV 20 S RST 35 NW EAU 30 SW ASX 105 NNE GNA
...CONT... 45 E MTC 25 N CMH 30 SSE LEX 40 NW CSV 30 NNE MSL 50 WNW
BHM 35 NW PFN 55 SSW PFN 80 SW AAF ...CONT... 40 WSW PIE 55 ENE MLB
...CONT... 65 SE MIA 30 N MTH 65 NW EYW ...CONT... 40 SSE PSK 30 SSE
EKN 35 ENE EKN 40 WSW MRB 25 ENE CHO 10 NNW AVC 25 NNE RDU 20 WNW
RDU 15 SW GSO 40 SSE PSK ...CONT... 55 SSE ISP 20 SE ISP 25 ENE BDR
30 W PVD 75 ENE ACK ...CONT... 45 SSE 6R6 20 S 6R6 30 WNW 6R6 40 NW
MRF 70 SSE ELP.