Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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921
WUUS01 KWNS 221610
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2024

VALID TIME 221630Z - 231200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40498021 39958191 40028285 40818253 41578184 42587914
       42417884 41817861 41187888 40498021
0.02   29939853 29789967 29790033 30050080 30660115 31260120
       32230096 34229830 35369496 36519305 38178815 37008742
       36498747 35158832 34298928 31749258 30959424 30479573
       29939853
0.05   30559949 30710005 31150048 31760046 32440010 33089918
       35119374 35179290 34989226 34509186 33829194 33009275
       32559346 31339567 30799730 30559949
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29580174 32230118 32920066 34189916 34899700 36259582
       37879183 39028799 40078574 40798402 41928266 99999999
       45257421 44137395 43287409 42117447 41157506 40007648
       37958211 36338440 35098814 34468903 31799260 30339668
       29769966 28180037
0.15   30090020 30100082 30550119 31290122 32150100 34249825
       35359498 36589284 37728956 38228797 39378348 38818283
       36408528 35268854 32559237 31869368 30379806 30090020
0.30   30879833 30549946 30730004 31140046 31780044 32400008
       33099913 35149370 35189289 34989227 34479187 33849202
       33329274 32739387 30879833
SIGN   31310077 31850072 32500042 33209977 34179811 35239552
       35819343 35919223 35759163 35319124 34739128 34039169
       33299274 32719391 31559681 30889838 30749948 30880046
       31310077
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29490175 32230119 32950062 34109932 34919704 36239584
       37809189 39008792 40048578 40798403 41928269 99999999
       45227322 43547297 41987348 40537442 38097812 37008179
       35958402 35398589 34698813 33258922 31339137 30289560
       29789966 28120041
0.15   45007544 43907507 42117552 41177596 40477673 39847785
       38688098 36308456 35098821 31739263 30959430 30499570
       30039955 30100087 30560117 31240120 32150103 34249827
       35359490 36589289 37009165 38208797 39358525 40508309
       41278204 42508106
0.30   30559947 30710007 31150047 31810047 32420010 33029925
       35139370 35199294 35009229 34509188 33819194 33079268
       32549344 31349568 30809735 30559947
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    30809733 30549949 30720007 31130048 31790047 32410010
       33059919 35119374 35199291 34999228 34509186 33799196
       33069270 32569343 31339567 30809733
SLGT   44997547 43877507 42097553 41157593 40497675 39857784
       38698100 36278460 35098822 31759261 30949430 30489572
       30039960 30110085 30540118 31270123 32180098 34269827
       34599725 35359494 36599285 36959166 38208801 39318536
       40508310 41238210 42498107
MRGL   29540174 30960147 32220118 32910067 34069936 34929699
       36239575 37399310 39028794 40838402 41928266 99999999
       45227322 43557297 41997347 40497447 38087819 36958201
       35928406 34698810 33248925 31349136 30289560 29779967
       28160039
TSTM   45186647 44046842 42767120 42557208 42037267 40987330
       38687528 37337748 36147987 35848260 35398454 35018669
       34498794 32498899 30659107 29839400 29569685 29419858
       29349914 28359939 26229937 99999999 29110257 29380255
       30570230 31300203 33220091 33770035 34489898 34689856
       34969807 36019732 37309663 37999615 38549389 39219212
       39448964 40188604 40678533 40978508 41518475 42298450
       43008425 43868347 45398197 99999999 49539582 47489266
       46789005 46608809 45618663 44648720 43618842 42919009
       42159119 42609284 43869336 44359377 45739507 46719660
       46749761 46279873 45689969 45620114 45420401 44750567
       43540660 42710835 42420867 41681077 41531128 41651515
       42121656 42781710 43331690 43721757 43561849 43681994
       45462091 46342062 46741958 46881787 46401622 46031549
       47021402 47441405 48041489 49431824 99999999 38960371
       40350242 41250084 41219895 40499753 39699722 39329883
       39420083 38760135 38310138 38060129 37580131 37110162
       36620261 36610372 37270467 37910449 38960371 99999999
       26198298 27348177 27398110 27117959

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
TPL 15 E JCT 25 NW JCT 15 S SJT 30 N SJT 25 W ABI 50 NNE ABI 40 WSW
RUE 10 ESE RUE 20 N LIT 25 N PBF 15 NW LLQ 15 SSE ELD 25 ENE SHV 45
NNW UTS 25 SSE TPL.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W
MSS 50 E ART 25 ESE BGM 15 SW AVP 20 NNE CXY 10 NNW HGR 40 NE CRW 35
NE CSV 40 NW MSL 30 E IER 35 SE LFK 25 SW UTS 35 SSE JCT 50 N DRT 70
SW SJT 45 W SJT 30 E BGS 25 NNE SPS 25 NNW ADM 30 NW RKR 30 NE HRO
20 NE UNO 30 WNW EVV 50 WNW LUK 35 NNW CMH 20 SW CLE 55 WNW ERI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE
6R6 65 WSW SJT 20 E BGS 65 WNW ABI 40 S LTS 45 N ADM 10 ENE TUL 20
NE SGF 35 SSE MTO 25 SW FDY 40 ESE DTW ...CONT... 50 N BTV RUT 30
SSW PSF 20 SW EWR 15 ESE CHO 40 NNE TRI TYS 25 W MSL 50 ESE GWO 20 S
HEZ 30 SSW UTS 40 NW HDO 70 NW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE EPM 30 S BHB 30
NNW BOS 20 NNW ORH BDL 15 SW BDR 25 NNE SBY 15 SW RIC GSO 15 ESE HSS
45 SW TYS 25 NNE HSV 25 SW MSL 20 NW MEI 50 SW MCB 10 S BPT 50 N VCT
10 SW SAT HDO 10 WSW COT 70 W MFE ...CONT... 65 SSW 6R6 50 SSW 6R6
35 N 6R6 45 SSE MAF 60 ESE LBB 45 S CDS 20 SE LTS 10 WNW FSI 10 SSW
CHK 35 NW CQB 50 NNE PNC 25 S EMP 20 WSW SZL 30 N COU 30 S SPI 35
NNE IND 25 SSW FWA FWA 45 NNE FWA JXN 25 NE LAN 25 WNW BAX 80 ENE
APN ...CONT... 45 NNW RRT 10 NE HIB 20 NNE IWD 25 W MQT 25 ESE ESC
45 NE MTW 25 SSE OSH 20 SSE LNR 30 SW DBQ 20 W ALO 35 SE MKT 10 NE
MKT 20 ESE AXN 20 SE FAR 40 WSW FAR 45 S JMS 35 ENE MBG 35 W MBG 25
WSW 2WX 30 NNW GCC 45 N CPR 20 ESE LND 30 S LND 30 NNE EVW 20 NW EVW
55 ESE OWY 25 WNW OWY 40 ENE REO 40 WSW BOI 70 W BOI 25 E BNO 50 W
BNO 15 SE DLS 15 S YKM 40 S EPH 35 WNW PUW 35 WNW P69 10 SSE P69 10
NNE MSO 35 N MSO 35 WSW GPI 90 NE OMK ...CONT... 20 S LIC 45 WSW IML
10 NW LBF 35 N EAR 45 WNW BIE 25 ENE CNK 30 N RSL 45 E GLD 45 SSE
GLD 45 NW GCK 30 WNW GCK 40 SW GCK 15 ENE EHA 30 ENE CAO 35 WNW CAO
20 W TAD 25 S PUB 20 S LIC ...CONT... 75 WSW FMY 35 SW AGR 25 SE AGR
45 NE PBI.