462
WUUS01 KWNS 211642
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2024

VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38238982 36749161 35039341 33639544 33709667 34069803
       34389855 34829850 35329787 36419659 37059608 38169580
       38829626 39289646 39829699 40919769 42229730 44269609
       45239566 45809533 46269457 46429216 46238892 45798685
       44578529 44278529 43408529 42388562 41048659 39468827
       38238982
0.05   43308746 41738750 40138876 39288952 38659045 37519163
       36309307 35039461 34989527 35339558 36779492 37959501
       39409565 40259654 40969668 42239629 43719544 45089387
       45479324 45749232 45859113 45398916 44898836 44748817
       43878765 43308746
0.10   43758859 42778838 41808838 40878884 39768993 39119109
       38879274 39069415 39729521 40759596 41719579 42869491
       44189382 44939245 44969140 44919043 44698947 44268884
       43758859
0.15   41419500 42269484 43039369 44439200 44399086 43969027
       43158983 42648948 41658965 40929012 40139132 39969229
       40019339 40319431 40779490 41419500
SIGN   39109231 38909284 39129416 39799522 40819589 41669571
       42979472 44219376 44919238 44949128 44879024 44658944
       44158899 42868909 41558927 40678981 40119038 39109231
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   46397076 45886776 45426822 44716937 43617162 43457274
       43407409 43557495 43867535 44447519 45727450
0.05   43809708 44659596 45749537 46299453 46489338 47029209
       46168714 45178626 43628602 42518596 41058644 38168939
       36799093 33329455 31289647 29369916 28060014 29240085
       29540129 30020059 31619986 33519890 34229911 34939910
       35369878 36199710 37849626 38629650 39609813 39749913
       39939975 40320000 40930000 43809708
0.15   44579498 45489317 45789057 45088885 43828804 41758754
       39748850 38309027 37149176 34419460 31279797 30029929
       30410026 32239923 33399850 34379819 34749797 35259714
       36629607 38169576 38899609 39829780 40229866 40629886
       41449869 42789734 44579498
0.30   39419567 40389667 41029695 41779693 43059552 44569243
       44629119 43849034 41949026 40649053 39599100 38119176
       36589275 36619474 37969486 39419567
0.45   40639561 41719566 42999374 42999307 42049269 40729280
       39589323 39639468 39949522 40639561
SIGN   40219760 40799792 41859746 43119548 43429471 44639238
       44729117 43979051 43048990 41518993 39179094 36739242
       34839429 32369693 31299794 30039928 30440023 32179928
       33319846 34239824 34709795 35229719 36709590 36829581
       38229548 39069586 39619680 40219760
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 33329458 31339644
       29379918 28070014 29220084 29540130 30010061 31589986
       33099873 33979852 34659821 35439715 36759603 38159569
       38819599 39799789 41139839 42059797 42949731 44539601
       47189217 48268946
0.05   46627040 46306775 45686778 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43857537 44477518 45267474
0.15   41259707 43009623 44509445 45469278 46089113 46348934
       46358711 45468402 44438323 43548325 42858361 41098554
       39478730 37198921 34999224 31769756 32539801 36139482
       36909470 37969463 38979503 39759610 40269671 41259707
0.30   45158941 44768674 44418597 43828577 42958555 41338663
       40018864 38139176 38039321 39039390 39699470 40779592
       42019568 43199519 44349343 44949232 45219080 45158941
0.45   44429198 44379085 43889020 42198929 40908959 40239012
       39489146 39599319 41109417 41889416 43049362 44429198
SIGN   42479485 43819392 44589246 44639095 44498989 43908876
       43228770 42668749 41628741 40498864 39499059 38899190
       39059302 39379367 40379484 41719514 42479485
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    43039369 44439200 44399086 43969027 42648948 42198929
       40908959 40239012 39489146 39639321 39639468 39949522
       40639561 41719566 43039369
ENH    41779693 43059552 43979399 44189382 44939245 45219080
       45158941 44768674 44418597 42958555 41338663 40018864
       38149175 36589275 36619474 37969486 39419567 40389667
       41029695 41779693
SLGT   33399850 34379819 34749797 35259714 36629607 38169576
       38899609 40229866 40629886 41449869 42789734 44579498
       45479324 45749232 46089113 46348934 46358711 45468402
       44438323 43548325 42858361 39478730 37198921 34999224
       32379637 31769728 30029929 30410026 33399850
MRGL   42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 33379450 31289647
       29369916 28060014 29220084 29540130 30010061 33519890
       34229911 34939910 35369878 36199710 37849626 38629650
       39609813 39749913 39939975 40320000 40930000 43599730
       44589595 45809533 46269457 46349339 47189217 48268946
MRGL   46627040 46306775 45686778 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43857537 44477518 45277474
TSTM   29440195 31500073 33099982 34259989 34680005 35280023
       36129991 36399944 36699849 37019766 37359735 37689728
       38049768 37839877 37469989 37060060 37030157 37330291
       37520471 36430844 36690940 38210907 39170944 39371038
       40251175 42621260 43751182 47651272 49431448 99999999
       49330828 48290660 47010513 46160514 45580729 45160819
       44470729 44200368 43680237 42450178 42370020 45759678
       47209478 48789107 99999999 42666860 41487300 41507596
       40147779 38167836 35178194 34598306 34288451 35018464
       36658330 37318379 37248435 37098478 36708549 35978606
       35148669 34678727 34388776 33468915 33039025 32859147
       32719254 32289387 31799516 31599541 30559651 29149883
       26679962 99999999 28558339 29688248 30818093 30968053

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW
MCW 40 SW EAU 40 NNE LSE VOK 25 W JVL 10 W RFD 15 NNE PIA 35 NW SPI
35 SSW UIN 25 ESE CDJ 15 SE STJ 20 NW STJ 15 SW SDA 25 SW DNS 20 WSW
MCW.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
OFK 20 WSW SPW 20 SSW MKT MKT 40 E MSP 40 NE EAU 20 NE AUW 40 NW MBL
15 NE MBL GRR 20 ESE VPZ 15 NE DEC VIH 30 NNW FLP GMJ 40 ENE CNU 25
N TOP 10 NE BIE 15 NW LNK 30 ESE OFK.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S
SPS 25 SSE FSI 25 S CHK 30 ESE OKC 10 SSW BVO 25 ESE EMP 30 WSW TOP
30 SSW HSI 10 SE EAR 35 SE BUB 10 SSE YKN RWF 40 E STC 75 NW EAU 35
SSW ASX 40 ESE IWD 25 ESE MQT 35 NW APN 10 E OSC 20 SW BAX 10 SE FNT
HUF 20 E CGI 20 N LIT 25 N CRS 10 NNW ACT 45 SE JCT 30 WSW JCT 40 S
SPS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
MTC 40 WSW FDY 10 S EVV 30 WNW DYR 30 W TXK 50 N CLL HDO 55 NW LRD
10 SSE DRT 25 WNW DRT 50 NNE DRT 40 SW SPS 30 SSE LTS 20 NNE LTS 25
E CSM 35 NNW CQB 35 S EMP 25 NW EMP 25 W CNK 45 NE HLC 40 N HLC 30
ENE MCK 40 ESE LBF 30 W FSD 45 W RWF AXN 25 WSW BRD 35 E BRD 25 N
DLH 55 NE GNA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 W
CAR 15 N HUL 30 S HUL 40 NE BGR 25 N PSM 10 WSW CON 20 WSW GFL 25 N
UCA 35 ESE ART 35 SSW MSS 25 NNE MSS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE 6R6 15 NW SJT
45 N ABI 25 ESE CDS 20 NE CDS 60 W CSM 65 NW CSM 50 WSW AVK 10 ESE
AVK 35 WNW PNC 20 SSE ICT 10 ENE ICT 10 E HUT 40 NNW P28 20 SSE DDC
20 E LBL 20 E EHA 15 WNW SPD 25 NW TAD 25 SSW FMN 60 SW CEZ 50 NNE
4BL 30 NNE CNY 25 SE PUC 40 SSE SLC 20 S PIH 20 NE IDA 65 WNW GTF 80
N GPI ...CONT... 85 NE HVR GGW 15 WSW GDV 40 ESE MLS 60 NNW SHR 45
SSE BIL 25 SW SHR 35 WNW RAP 45 SE RAP 45 NW MHN 20 SW ANW 35 NNW
VVV 25 SSE BJI 70 NNE ELO ...CONT... 110 SE PWM 25 NNE BDR 15 NW AVP
30 ESE AOO CHO 15 N SPA 20 WNW AND 40 E RMG 30 E CHA 50 WNW TRI 25
NE LOZ 20 NW LOZ 40 W LOZ 55 ESE BWG 35 ESE BNA 35 N HSV 20 ESE MSL
25 SSW MSL 40 WSW CBM 35 SSW GWO 40 NE MLU 30 WNW MLU 10 SSW SHV 40
SSE TYR 45 WNW LFK 10 WSW CLL 25 SE HDO 60 S LRD ...CONT... 60 NW
PIE 15 W GNV 40 SE SSI 55 ESE SSI.