Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
278
WUUS01 KWNS 230558
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2024

VALID TIME 231200Z - 241200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39339441 38009566 37859577 36269624 35289493 34939363
       34699235 34419120 34039083 33359075 32709108 32039250
       30949614 30569798 30409856 30519929 30939981 31650018
       34070038 36360054 39510061 41260120 42470108 43840014
       44730033 45730060 46370067 46670032 47079934 47129859
       47049765 46859677 46659650 46079649 45639676 45009727
       43899727 42999660 42109410 40819346 40079371 39339441
0.05   37110006 39499996 40730030 41150048 41780037 42240019
       42459953 42309884 41989779 41549680 41139614 40729600
       40359593 39889622 39269707 38539740 37079765 35429786
       34539804 32609881 32509947 33009975 34629992 36960010
       37110006
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   36187454 35497684 34628071 34218211 34548464 34548691
       33778858 32529039 31409261 30629505 30299824 30339935
       30630001 30890059 31590083 34540095 36250097 37900110
       38940146 39880180 41480183 43880091 44770077 45070134
       44960320 44880496 45000544 45470545 46520352 47110185
       47589958 48099729 48039541 47709466 47089426 46499461
       45679494 44529501 43329405 41549351 38849253 38439069
       38348943 38678766 38758443 38888056 40377621 42687258
       43457151 44856981 48016816
0.15   39129539 37719607 36559615 36509601 35519402 35059275
       34699140 34479115 33929100 33459137 32889179 32329256
       31679503 31079700 30849783 30809888 31139996 31650029
       32930045 35870041 38090054 39300094 40180122 41250122
       43260060 44629988 45370035 45490181 45520275 45790322
       46090314 46570194 47089971 47379801 47489696 46889621
       46539600 46119630 45779742 44809772 44099753 43079668
       41899599 41259573 39129539
SIGN   45909746 43929837 42809843 41659822 40639712 40049668
       38549676 36439652 35539568 34899507 33839495 32849545
       32109572 31379620 30889778 30869889 31179982 31610013
       32390021 33480026 36100020 37410031 38490044 39290074
       39910104 40340107 41580106 43460010 44789958 45489991
       46040090 46420082 46740000 47039831 47079716 46769665
       46329681 45909746
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36187454 35507692 34408051 33878257 34178487 34308682
       33728811 32758911 31809055 30829393 30449695 30329858
       30399958 30710026 31630033 36270078 37480081 40060180
       41620180 44700167 45390238 46630159 47519954 47639750
       47379615 46649528 45739497 44869429 43709316 42499208
       41299181 39809218 38869254 37799110 37428897 38168795
       38778431 38868061 40437609 42537280 43447150 44846979
       48076812
0.15   38770019 40000110 41620119 43010073 44519985 45489989
       45980046 46550032 46839984 46979853 46999804 46609727
       45999726 45249741 43979738 43339679 42909574 42459428
       41529349 40269360 39039409 38129468 36899610 35699730
       34689778 34059780 33289659 33269557 33519458 33929323
       34259109 33599086 32519141 32189192 31669397 31369613
       31279891 31839964 32329979 33249976 36079999 38770019
0.30   42229797 41919685 41389541 40709509 39969541 39599582
       39299641 39309872 40469998 41340031 41999985 42309899
       42229797
SIGN   41560056 42630015 43199950 43219880 42669845 42169727
       41579600 40819556 40239566 39609640 39549732 39539882
       40329999 41560056
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    41999985 42309899 42229797 41919685 41389541 40709509
       39969541 39599582 39299641 39309872 40469998 41340031
       41999985
SLGT   46090314 46570194 47089971 47379801 47489696 46889621
       46539600 46119630 45819730 45249741 43979738 43339679
       42909574 42459428 41529349 40269360 39039409 38129468
       36869613 36559615 35519402 35059275 34699140 34479115
       33599086 32519141 32189192 31669397 31389598 30849783
       30809888 31139996 31650029 32930045 35870041 38090054
       40180122 41250122 41620119 43010073 44629988 45370035
       45520275 45790322 46090314
MRGL   36057497 34408051 33878257 34178487 34308682 33728811
       32758911 31809055 30829393 30629505 30299824 30399958
       30890059 31590083 36250097 37900110 39880180 41480183
       44700167 45030201 44880496 45000544 45470545 46520352
       47110185 48099729 48039541 47709466 47089426 46499461
       45689493 44869429 42499208 41299181 39809218 38839251
       38439069 38348943 38678766 38888056 40417615 42647264
       43457151 44856981 47906821
TSTM   49240940 47511179 47081433 47881947 48531997 49712013
       99999999 49079121 46549035 44408957 42658924 41208993
       39988985 39748953 39498768 39668571 40218250 40787878
       41947665 42727390 44317294 46637170 99999999 32607865
       32288063 31918140 31478235 30688444 31328541 32908509
       33648593 33158702 31188899 30308965 30329379 29929748
       29359899 29069969 29060028 29450075 30260121 31920123
       34980121 38610163 43100306 43630638 44030830 45691018
       46600986 47510467 49650121 99999999 26348308 26698202
       26588045 25767953

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW
BUB 20 SW ONL 30 WNW OFK 30 E OFK 25 ENE OMA 20 E SDA 15 SE FNB 35
SSW FNB 20 NE MHK 30 N RSL 35 ENE MCK 25 NE LBF 40 WNW BUB.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE
2WX 45 ESE DIK 50 WNW JMS 45 NE JMS 35 SSE GFK 15 WNW DTL 20 SSW DTL
45 WNW AXN 55 NW VVV 25 NNW ATY 35 ENE MHE 20 S FSD 35 NW SLB 10 SSW
FOD 10 E DSM 30 SE LWD 30 ESE MKC 50 S OJC 10 NW BVO 15 SSW BVO 25
ENE FSM 25 SE RUE 45 NE PBF 50 ENE PBF 10 NE GLH 35 E MLU 25 SSE MLU
50 W IER 50 SSE CRS 30 SW TPL 55 ENE JCT 35 ESE SJT 25 NNE SJT 55 NW
ABI 55 ENE BGD 15 NE GCK 30 SE IML 30 WNW LBF 30 SSW MHN 15 NW VTN
25 NE PIR 10 SSE MBG 35 E 2WX 20 NE 2WX 40 NNE 2WX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNE
HSE 50 WNW FLO 45 E AHN 20 SE RMG 25 S HSV 20 ENE CBM 35 NW MEI 45 N
MCB 45 WSW POE 25 ESE UTS 30 W AUS 15 SE JCT 35 S SJT 25 NW SJT 40
SE GUY 20 W GCK 35 N GLD 55 SW MHN 45 N PHP 65 S Y22 45 SSE 4BQ 30 S
4BQ 4BQ 35 ENE BHK 40 SSW N60 10 NNW GFK 35 E TVF 20 NE BJI 45 SE
BJI 25 WNW BRD 25 ESE AXN 45 ENE RWF 15 ESE ALO 35 ENE OTM 30 SE IRK
15 W COU 30 SW STL 25 ESE BLV 45 N EVV 40 W EKN 40 ENE CXY 25 SW EEN
10 SSW LCI 35 N AUG 70 N CAR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE HVR 20 W GTF
15 NW MSO 40 N EPH 20 WNW OMK 90 NNW OMK ...CONT... 85 NNE ELO 10 W
IWD 25 S CWA 10 W JVL 35 ESE MLI 15 NW SPI 10 SE SPI 20 W HUF 30 E
IND 25 NE CMH 30 SSE DUJ 20 SE ELM ALB 15 SE BTV 120 NNE EFK
...CONT... 75 SSE CRE 35 ENE SAV 20 SW SAV 15 N AYS 20 NNW TLH DHN
LGC ANB 35 SSW BHM 30 SE PIB 10 ESE ASD 30 NNE BPT 30 SSE AUS 10 E
HDO 35 WSW HDO 45 ESE DRT 10 ENE DRT 60 ENE 6R6 25 SE BGS 35 ESE AMA
50 S GLD 20 N CDR 50 N CPR 15 WNW WRL 15 E LVM 10 N 3HT 25 WSW SDY
95 N MOT ...CONT... 75 WSW FMY 10 NW FMY 25 WSW PBI 45 E MIA.