912
WUUS01 KWNS 210555
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2024

VALID TIME 211200Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38238982 36749161 35039341 34339451 34539550 34749604
       35949620 37149580 38089569 38829626 39289646 39829699
       40919769 42229730 44269609 45239566 45809533 46269457
       46429216 46238892 45798685 44578529 44278529 43408529
       42388562 41048659 39468827 38238982
0.05   43308746 41738750 40138876 39288952 38659045 37519163
       36309307 35939456 36189520 36949480 37759457 38659500
       39419577 40259654 40969668 42239629 43719544 45089387
       45479324 45749232 45859113 45398916 44898836 44748817
       43878765 43308746
0.10   43758859 42778838 41808838 40878884 39768993 39119109
       38879274 39069415 39729521 40759596 41719579 42869491
       44189382 44939245 44969140 44919043 44698947 44268884
       43758859
0.15   41419500 42199484 43039369 43379302 43759219 43749131
       43799076 43599026 43158983 42648948 41328994 40929012
       40139132 39969229 40019339 40319431 40779490 41419500
SIGN   39109231 38909284 39129416 39799522 40819589 41669571
       42979472 44219376 44919238 44949128 44879024 44658944
       44158899 42868909 41558927 40678981 40119038 39109231
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   46397076 45886776 45426822 44716937 43617162 43457274
       43407409 43557495 43867535 44447519 45727450
0.05   45889395 46609083 46108746 45178626 43628602 42518596
       41058644 38168939 36799093 34329346 31289647 30139839
       29279923 28180035 29590151 31150091 32949922 35939718
       37849626 38629650 39609813 39749913 39939975 40320000
       40930000 43599730 45149519 45889395
0.15   44579498 45489317 45789057 45088885 43828804 41758754
       39748850 38309027 37149176 34419460 31279797 30229956
       30460044 32239923 33459832 35359687 36799593 38249575
       38899609 39829780 40229866 40629886 41449869 42789734
       44579498
0.30   39419567 40379667 41029695 41779693 43059552 44029277
       43779127 43249066 41949026 40649053 39719145 39309174
       38019332 37799398 37969486 39419567
0.45   40639561 41719566 42239483 42399366 42019328 41139305
       39649311 39639468 39949522 40639561
SIGN   40219760 40799792 41859746 43119548 43429471 44029274
       44109112 43979051 43048990 41518993 39179094 36739242
       34839429 32369693 31299794 30279958 30530034 31339987
       32179928 35359683 36829581 38229548 39069586 39619680
       40219760
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42868148 42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 34349282
       33689381 31339644 30019852 28739968 28160029 29550147
       30760060 31790004 33189841 35159698 36829596 38159569
       38819599 39799789 41139839 42059797 42949731 44539601
       47189217 48608854
0.05   46677080 46276838 45976748 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43867532 44467514 45577455
0.15   41259707 43009623 44509445 45469278 46089113 46348934
       46358711 45888521 45468402 44438323 43548325 42858361
       41138575 39588765 37629025 35879261 35359413 35529513
       36139482 36909470 37969463 38979503 39759610 40269671
       41259707
0.30   44938899 44768674 44418597 43828577 42958555 41338663
       40018864 39169009 38499155 38039321 39039390 39699470
       40779592 42019568 43199519 44299321 44579225 44769087
       44938899
0.45   43189270 43039126 42648948 42198929 40908959 40239012
       39489146 39599319 41109417 41889416 42919358 43189270
SIGN   42479485 43569361 43739262 43869143 43708977 43598875
       43228770 42668749 41628741 40498864 39499059 38899190
       39059302 39379367 40379484 41719514 42479485
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    42249477 43039369 43759219 43799076 43599026 43158983
       42648948 42198929 40908959 40239012 39489146 39649322
       39639468 39949522 40639561 41719566 42249477
ENH    41779693 43059552 43429478 44189382 44939245 44969140
       44839009 44938899 44768674 44418597 42958555 41338663
       40018864 39169009 38569154 38019332 37799398 37969486
       39419567 40379667 41029695 41779693
SLGT   32239923 35359687 36799593 38249575 38899609 40229866
       40629886 41449869 42789734 44579498 45479324 45749232
       45779194 46089113 46348934 46358711 45888521 45468402
       44438323 43548325 42858361 39588765 37629025 35879261
       35629334 31279797 30229956 30460044 32239923
MRGL   42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 33689381 31289647
       30039849 28739968 28160029 28180035 29590151 31150091
       32949922 35939718 37849626 38629650 39609813 39749913
       39939975 40320000 40930000 43599730 44589595 45809533
       46269457 46349339 47189217 48608854
MRGL   46657065 46276838 45976748 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43867535 44447519 45497463
TSTM   28720291 29010282 29710261 30520236 32050049 34109975
       35039967 36069922 36539924 37230058 37440225 37460271
       37360420 36960769 37320844 38210907 39170944 39371038
       39791124 40251175 41181227 42621260 43751182 45491230
       47651272 48521348 49781481 99999999 50420907 47580722
       46380673 45060531 44650288 43860186 43889953 44169905
       46629744 47909497 49259292 99999999 42666860 41487300
       40687560 38617782 37297935 35178194 34598306 34808412
       35438422 36658330 37318379 37448415 37558477 37408527
       37128585 35768687 34598896 33999124 32779362 32229451
       31599541 30559651 29149883 27089987
TSTM   28558339 29688248 30818093 30968053

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE
SLB 20 WSW MCW 20 SE RST 25 ESE LSE 25 S VOK 20 ESE LNR 25 W JVL 10
W RFD 15 NNE PIA 35 NW SPI 35 SSW UIN 25 ESE CDJ 15 SE STJ 20 NW STJ
15 SW SDA 25 SW DNS 35 SE SLB.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
OFK 20 WSW SPW 25 SW FRM MKT 40 E MSP EAU 20 W CWA 30 E AUW 40 NW
MBL 15 NE MBL GRR 20 ESE VPZ 15 NE DEC 20 N ALN 30 NNE VIH 50 SSE
SZL 50 NW SGF 40 ENE CNU 25 N TOP BIE 15 NW LNK 30 ESE OFK.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
ABI 25 S CQB BVO 25 ESE EMP 30 WSW TOP 30 SSW HSI 10 SE EAR 35 SE
BUB 10 SSE YKN RWF 40 E STC 75 NW EAU 65 NNW EAU 35 SSW ASX 40 ESE
IWD 25 ESE MQT 30 NW PLN 35 NW APN 10 E OSC 20 SW BAX 10 SE FNT 20
WNW HUF 15 SE FAM 25 SSW FLP 30 NNW RUE 35 WNW TPL 25 SSE JCT 40 W
JCT 30 ESE ABI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
MTC 40 WSW FDY 10 S EVV 30 WNW DYR 20 NE TXK 50 N CLL 35 N SAT 35 NW
COT 65 NW LRD 70 NW LRD 40 WNW DRT 30 WSW SJT 45 NE ABI 25 NW CQB 35
S EMP 25 NW EMP 25 W CNK 45 NE HLC 40 N HLC 30 ENE MCK 40 ESE LBF 30
W FSD 45 W RWF AXN 25 WSW BRD 35 E BRD 25 N DLH 100 N CMX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 W
CAR 30 WNW HUL 20 SE HUL 40 NE BGR 25 N PSM 10 WSW CON 20 WSW GFL 25
N UCA 35 ESE ART 40 SSW MSS 40 NNE MSS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW 6R6 80 SSW
6R6 35 SW 6R6 35 NNW 6R6 45 N SJT 40 SE CDS 35 SW CSM 50 N CSM 35
WSW AVK 25 ENE LBL 25 ENE SPD 15 NNW SPD 10 NE TAD 15 SSE DRO 10 ENE
CEZ 50 NNE 4BL 30 NNE CNY 25 SE PUC 30 WNW PUC 40 SSE SLC 15 W OGD
20 S PIH 20 NE IDA 20 NE DLN 65 WNW GTF 40 ENE GPI 105 NNW GPI
...CONT... 135 NNE HVR 50 SSW GGW 40 W MLS 25 S 4BQ 40 NNE RAP 20 SW
PHP 15 NW 9V9 30 NNE 9V9 35 SW FAR 25 N BJI 50 NNE INL ...CONT...
110 SE PWM 25 NNE BDR 10 WNW ABE 45 WSW DCA 10 WSW LYH 15 N SPA 20
WNW AND 65 ESE CHA 30 SSW TYS 50 WNW TRI 25 NE LOZ 25 N LOZ 35 SSW
LEX 55 SW LEX 35 ENE BWG 30 SSW BNA 25 NNW TUP 40 NE LLQ 25 NNE SHV
15 SE GGG 45 WNW LFK 10 WSW CLL 25 SE HDO 40 SW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW PIE 15 W GNV 40
SE SSI 55 ESE SSI.