Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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806
WUUS01 KWNS 250559
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2024

VALID TIME 251200Z - 261200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38740084 39990129 40400137 40930109 41240010 41049925
       40699784 40119614 40139538 40149404 40089338 39799219
       39409142 38749070 38179051 37029106 36659160 36389319
       34769537 33369642 32049727 30989835 30579923 30499980
       30860031 31620046 32560033 34330029 36370047 37230051
       38740084
0.05   39689769 39509553 39029322 38589230 38189176 37979178
       37709187 37179263 36989342 36219441 34709600 33099726
       32289792 31619851 31319900 31299959 31489980 31889993
       34399980 36439986 37000010 37960053 39090058 39360034
       39579992 39689769
0.10   38989554 38889476 38609400 38359371 38059362 37599378
       37149422 36569493 35839550 35049608 33549751 32679841
       32589883 32719944 33049947 33429948 34949944 36669953
       37730015 38200024 38569984 38879941 39129682 38989554
0.15   37679583 36609541 35799598 35089643 34399774 34249858
       34529914 35819916 36839923 37609914 37899852 38019793
       38059731 37949639 37679583
SIGN   38190026 38879942 39099687 38999569 38899478 38579398
       38209374 37929376 37499405 36649494 35069609 33609756
       32749842 32639887 32709944 32829937 35179944 36669953
       37700012 38190026
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   41548210 42497961 43117905 43497835 43587663 43317577
       41307598 40707643 39587733 39227819 39297992 38728214
       38498301 39148366 40708314 41548210
0.05   39460188 40390240 41110272 41680279 42800235 43540085
       43809987 43929908 43919859 42949656 42629268 41989055
       40498978 38978986 37279006 36489080 35688978 34608759
       33588421 32968372 31868345 31228384 30958576 31298665
       31658927 31889087 32459205 33299384 33209506 30749874
       30389931 30499989 31190084 32170139 32920107 33480084
       34060077 36010095 37750134 39460188
0.05   25938001 25678021 25738054 26108082 27288099 27898104
       28188088 28168055 27388003 25938001
0.15   34419569 32749673 31709816 31129913 31229992 31650050
       32060062 32600042 33880004 35640025 38230073 39090104
       40090123 40720098 40940059 41129869 41099787 40889581
       40459365 39679223 38779149 38099123 37419150 36699271
       35549432 34419569
0.30   38859369 37729370 36899433 36219477 35819505 35399575
       34209736 33199797 32449853 31819925 31819994 32119995
       33059958 34169930 35209939 36169962 37390018 38220044
       39139967 39609803 39689574 39369446 38859369
0.45   37349641 36859718 36649842 36759921 37349961 38059991
       38319971 38539911 38809844 39129704 38579643 38139615
       37719616 37349641
SIGN   37670054 38380047 39150006 39529940 39959794 39969726
       39919630 39829544 39579428 39099308 38609276 37999288
       37139312 36669414 35229548 33879662 33189694 32449742
       31759823 31359895 31299937 31439985 31650018 31900026
       32290020 33369994 34169994 36300030 37670054
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   44527660 43877559 41947547 41087577 39517730 38887829
       38078143 38128270 38448313 39138382 40718310 42348150
0.05   30958102 30738142 30238314 30618490 30688522 30918618
       31408797 31709049 31919121 32249160 32899172 33369165
       33679114 33848984 34118849 34138774 34028640 33788444
       33658380 34088238 34488162 34957957 34937880 34707815
       34317794 33707741
0.05   41680147 42620089 42730064 42809941 42459788 42419646
       41879337 40289077 38939032 37658993 36899005 36139064
       35459275 33599450 32299662 31049835 30639883 30359930
       30490014 30790107 30950139 32290135 33960045 36400096
       39320185 41680147
0.05   25638041 26058064 27068096 27838098 28118080 28088056
       27648017 27257992 26577984 26097972 25657980 25457995
       25518028 25638041
0.15   34549562 33409658 32429730 31589875 31629933 31960012
       32839994 33719936 34609919 35109937 36249953 37430031
       38740073 39770054 40679975 41119778 40859572 40309431
       39679291 39229205 38479125 38089094 37589092 36919112
       36489182 36269285 35769401 35409455 34549562
0.30   39669769 39589517 39319432 38809348 38239260 37929232
       37449229 36939247 36639309 36469383 36229523 35999671
       36589777 37149807 37609905 38439927 38959911 39389873
       39669769
0.45   37009449 36739493 36549540 36549573 36979640 37549683
       38769722 39049692 39049566 38359424 37739399 37009449
SIGN   36599887 37709929 37819931 38729936 39469889 39679776
       39669663 39459484 39149411 38479246 38069174 37539167
       36979191 36619289 36169465 35529648 35409760 35799842
       36599887
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    38319971 38809844 39009696 39049566 38359424 37739399
       37009449 36739493 36549545 35089643 34399774 34249858
       34529914 36779923 37349961 38059991 38319971
ENH    39139967 39669769 39689574 39319432 38239260 37929232
       37449229 36939247 36639309 36319471 35819505 35279591
       32859822 32449853 31819925 31819994 32119995 33459948
       35549947 36169962 37390018 38220044 39139967
SLGT   40720098 40940059 41129869 41119778 40889581 40459365
       39679223 38089094 37589092 36919112 36489182 36269285
       35769401 35549432 34419569 32749673 31709816 31129913
       31229992 31650050 32060062 33880004 35640025 38230073
       39090104 40090123 40720098
MRGL   25657980 25457995 25518028 26108082 27898104 28188088
       28168055 27257992 26097972
MRGL   30848073 30958102 30738142 30238314 30918618 31408797
       31709049 31919121 32229158 33299384 33209506 30359930
       30490014 30950139 32170139 33480084 34060077 36010095
       37360125 39460188 41110272 41680279 42800235 43540085
       43809987 43929908 43919859 42949656 42629268 41989055
       40498978 37858999 37658993 36899005 36279053 35688978
       34608759 33878517 33658380 34088238 34488162 34957957
       34937880 34707815 34317794 33707741
MRGL   44527660 43877559 41947547 41087577 39517730 38887829
       38078143 38128270 38448313 39138382 40708314 42348150
TSTM   24578031 25898149 27558221 28948237 29688464 31328952
       32019213 32199322 31879443 30939571 29849709 29039836
       28389942 27850043 99999999 29000167 29990173 31050165
       33380117 35220126 37550184 38540256 38840406 38680502
       38090568 37650649 37490785 37061021 37381296 38181418
       40081492 42051587 43601609 46331609 47931717 48861813
       49691848 99999999 49960514 47950389 46970225 46379969
       46689660 48999052 99999999 45948850 45469122 45019162
       43458930 42168826 40598808 39558740 39598660 41768491
       43268439 44248412 45288473 45768616 45948850 99999999
       45137603 44007246 42527220 38687586 36407595 36217497
       36667399

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE
DDC 20 ESE RSL 20 WSW MHK TOP 45 SE OJC 50 NW SGF 10 S JLN 15 NW GMJ
35 NE TUL 40 WNW MLC 40 ESE FSI 20 NNW SPS 10 SE LTS 30 W AVK 35 SSE
DDC 20 N DDC 40 NNE DDC.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE
HLC 10 NNW CNK 30 SSW FNB 20 NE MKC 35 SW JEF 15 NW TBN 25 SSW TBN
35 WNW UNO 25 N HRO 20 S GMJ 20 ENE MKO 30 NNW MLC 10 WNW MWL 25 NW
SEP 20 W BWD 45 SSW ABI 25 SW ABI 65 WSW SPS 20 NW CSM 60 NNW CSM 30
SSW DDC 25 NE GCK 20 SSE HLC.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW
LBF 15 SSE LBF 20 WNW GRI 30 ENE GRI 20 WNW SDA 20 SE LWD 35 SSE IRK
35 NW FAM 30 WSW FAM 35 WNW POF 20 S UNO 15 E HRO 20 SSE FYV 15 N
FSM 35 S MLC 10 SE DAL 35 S SEP 50 SSW BWD 35 ESE SJT 20 N SJT 50 N
SJT 40 SSE CDS 65 WNW CSM 20 N GCK 40 ESE GLD 35 WSW MCK 30 SSW LBF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
MIA 30 SE MIA 20 S MIA 40 WNW MIA 25 NE AGR 15 WNW MLB MLB 40 NNE
PBI 40 ENE MIA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE
SSI 30 ESE SSI 20 NE JAX 40 SSE VLD 20 ENE CEW 50 NNE MOB 35 N MCB
20 NNE HEZ 35 SE MLU 15 SE TXK 35 SE PRX 30 ESE JCT 20 W JCT 60 WSW
SJT BGS 60 ESE LBB 40 SW CDS 35 NE BGD 25 NW LBL 10 NW GLD 15 E SNY
25 S AIA 40 E CDR 50 NNW VTN 25 W 9V9 15 NE 9V9 30 WNW MHE 40 NNW
SUX 15 WNW ALO 30 SSE DBQ 15 SSW PIA 25 ENE FAM 30 ESE FAM 25 ENE
POF 25 ENE ARG 30 SW DYR 10 S MSL 35 S RMG 35 SW AHN 35 SE AND 35
SSE SPA 20 SSW SOP FAY 30 WSW OAJ ILM 50 SE ILM.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW
ART 25 ESE ART 30 SE BGM 15 S AVP 25 ESE HGR 40 SSW MRB 20 SSE CRW
20 SSW HTS 30 W HTS 30 E LUK 35 WSW MFD 65 NNE CLE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE MTH 25 SE APF
25 ENE SRQ 20 SSW OCF 25 E AAF 15 SW PIB 35 S MLU 30 NNW IER 40 SSE
GGG 20 NW UTS 50 SE AUS 35 S SAT 15 WSW COT 60 WNW LRD ...CONT... 50
WSW DRT 30 E 6R6 70 SSE MAF 45 ESE LBB 25 E AMA 40 N EHA 35 N LAA 35
E COS 20 WSW COS 45 NNE ALS 35 WNW ALS 25 NNW DRO 45 SE U17 25 SSE
CDC 45 NNE P38 55 N ELY 15 ENE OWY BOI 25 WNW P69 25 NE GEG 70 ENE
OMK 95 NNE OMK ...CONT... 130 N OLF 20 SW ISN 30 ENE DIK 60 ESE BIS
20 SSE FAR 85 N GNA ...CONT... 20 WNW IMT 45 NNE EAU 10 NW EAU 20 N
MSN 45 E RFD 35 NW DNV 10 NNW HUF 20 WSW IND 40 SSW JXN 25 SW MBS 30
ESE HTL 20 S PLN 45 E ESC 20 WNW IMT ...CONT... 60 WNW MSS 15 SSE
MPV 25 NW ORH 30 NW SBY 15 NE ECG 65 E ECG 120 SE WAL.