Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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835
FNUS74 KEWX 281755
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Caldwell 1636...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1255 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 CDT on May 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A thunderstorm outflow boundary recently pushed through, resulting
in east to northeasterly winds of 5-15 mph with gusts up and over
20 mph possible through the next couple of hours. Thunderstorms
are expected once again late this evening and will push in from
the west. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary hazards.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................11 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1600, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  61  50  52  53
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH
Weather type....            RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2
Temp............93  94  93  92  89
RH..............55  54  52  49  49
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  14  14  16  16
20 FT wind gust.20  20  18  20  22
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   8   8   10  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  12  11  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...5.7 5.0 3.6 2.9 2.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  17  18  20  21
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Patchy fog early in the morning.
CWR.................11 percent increasing to 34 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1900, then 9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 11 mph shifting to the around
                    4 mph after 3 am.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 22 mph shifting to the east 8
                    to 12 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  67  84  77  87  88  90  91  91  91  91  86
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............86  83  83  82  81  80  78  78  77  76  75  74
RH..............52  58  65  74  77  79  88  88  91  90  95  97
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..18  18  15  12  10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.26  28  24  20  17  16  15  14  13  13  12  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.11  11  9   7   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.16  17  14  12  10  10  9   8   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.22  22  21  20  17  15  14  12  10  9   9   8
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................32 percent decreasing to 4 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 10 to
                    13 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  76  72  69  65  62  60  57  56  56  55  50
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............30  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............74  73  74  76  80  82  84  87  88  89  89  89
RH..............94  95  92  91  78  74  70  64  61  60  59  59
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  13  14  15  15  16  16  16  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.3 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.4 4.6 4.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  12  12  13  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...34
Requested by...Belinda Jackson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415210.0/EWX
.DELDT 05/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu