067
FNUS73 KFGF 191046
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for East Park W of Impoundment...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
546 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Shower chances increase increase today in the area of the
prescribed burn mainly in the afternoon into the overnight
period. The chance for wetting rain though (0.1"+) is less than
20%. A few thunderstorms can`t be ruled out but right now chances
for lightning activity should remain south and no strong/severe
storms are expected. As skies may remain clear longer before the
system approaches from the southwest RH values may fall below 35
percent this afternoon. Winds should generally be 5 to 10 mph from
the southwest before shifting to the southeast later in the
afternoon becoming lighter and more variable from the north and
northeast overnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    rain showers  mainly in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....5800 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    73900 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  24  34  45  70  72  80  80  79  78
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  56  60  62  64  64  65  64  63  63
RH..............68  57  47  43  38  37  35  37  39  39
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   12  14  14  15  15  15  14  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.6 3.7 4.4 5.3 5.9 4.1 3.9 2.9
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE
Mixing wind spd.15  10  10  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   9   16  41  57  74  53  33  27  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    rain showers in the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....20200 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 4400 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........82     82     74     76     72     70
Weather cov.....       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............63     60     56     54     52     52
RH..............41     49     62     69     77     77
20 ft wind......E 5    E 5    E 5    NE 5   E 5    E 5
20 ft wind gust.12     9      11     11     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   600    500    600    600    600
Mixing wind.....SE 10  E 15   E 15   E 15   E 15   E 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20     8      7      8      8      5

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    north in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....3700 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    55600 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........77        67        66        69
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............51        55        59        62
RH..............80        74        67        58
20 FT wind......NE 5G12   NE 10G13  N 5G14    N 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1200      2800      3900
Mixing wind.....E 10      NE 10     NW 10     NW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4         9         24        46

$$
Forecaster...DJR
Requested by...Jake Anderson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414620.0/FGF
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL janderson@tnc.org