182
FNUS73 KGRR 180744
FWSGRR

Spot Forecast for Lincoln Rx Burn...MIDNR
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
344 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on May 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
It will be mostly sunny and very warm today with high temperatures
reaching the lower 80s with minimum relative humidity values
of around 44 percent. Winds will be rather light out of the southwest.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........76 at ignition...Max 82.
RH..................56 percent at ignition...Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 5 to 7
                    mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6800 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 /good/ at ignition. Max...620 /excellent/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
Sky (%).........8      16     17     12     10     7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............76     79     81     81     78     70
RH..............56     49     44     44     48     63
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 7   W 7    W 6    SW 3   S 3
20 ft wind gust.8      9      9      9      7      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5400   6800   6200   4600   600    400
Mixing wind.....SW 9   SW 9   SW 8   SW 8   S 6    S 6
Haines index....5      5      5      5      4      4
Smoke disprsl...500    620    500    370    30     20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Min 63.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 5 to 12 mph shifting to the west around 9
                    mph toward daybreak.
Smoke dispersal.....20 (poor).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Max 83.
RH..................Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50 (poor) early in the morning increasing to
                    320 (good) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Laurens
Requested by...Tom Barnes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414526.0/GRR
.DELDT 05/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL barnest2@michigan.gov