792
FXUS63 KICT 051738
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1238 PM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild and dry today through early Friday.

- Storm chances will increase for Friday night through Saturday
  night with seasonably cool air arriving Sunday through Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 339 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

A stable post-frontal regime is firmly established across the area
leading to tranquil and warm weather conditions today through early
Friday. With drier air overspreading the area, a large diurnal range
is anticipated today with highs climbing into the upper 80s and
lower 90s for much of south central and central KS. Another subtle
front will usher in cooler air on Thursday with highs in the 80s for
most areas.

We continue to see a decent setup for nocturnal storms Friday night.
Elevated storms capable of large hail and heavy rain are anticipated
given ample mucape/directional shear and lengthy 1-6km bulk shear
vectors. As the previous forecaster mentioned, the better storm
coverage looks to be over central and especially eastern KS where
low-level moisture transport will be maximized. Another frontal
boundary will arrive late Saturday night into Sunday driving
the better storm chances south of the area with drier and cooler
air overspreading the area on Sunday-Monday where many locations
will see below normal temperatures.

Another shortwave trough will sweep across the central CONUS late
Monday into Tuesday bringing another round of showers and storms to
the area keeping seasonably cool air in place across the area.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

VFR conditions are expected for all terminals throughout the period. A weak
boundary making its way through central KS will continue southward through this
afternoon. This will cause winds to become southerly and slightly stronger
especially at KRSL and KSLN through 00Z. Winds will die down and turn back to
the north later tonight as a weak cold front pushes from north to south. No
significant weather is expected with this front, and skies should remain clear
through tomorrow morning at all sites.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...JK/VJP