Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
171
FNUS52 KILM 251206
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
806 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will
continue through Monday. A cold front on Tuesday will bringing
cooler and drier weather Wednesday through Friday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-260415-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
806 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 92 67 91
Min/Max RH (%) 47 99 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.09 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 5700
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55800 57000
ADI Early 30 Fair 27 Fair 30 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 8 2
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-260415-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
806 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 91 67 92
Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.11 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 5400
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 64800
ADI Early 26 Fair 28 Fair 23 Fair
ADI Late 68 Good 5 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-260415-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
806 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 90 67 91
Min/Max RH (%) 49 99 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.11 0.24 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 12 PM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 5600
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 67200
ADI Early 31 Fair 23 Fair 25 Fair
ADI Late 72 Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260415-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
806 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 91 67 92
Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.13 0.28 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 12 PM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0800 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5700
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 68400
ADI Early 30 Fair 30 Fair 28 Fair
ADI Late 84 Good 5 Very Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA