Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
376
FNUS52 KILM 040654
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
254 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to push further offshore this week.
Afternoon shower and storm chances increase through the week as
temperatures and humidity increase.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-042300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
254 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 67 88
Min/Max RH (%) 47 99 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var S 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 74/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67000 99000
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 74 Good
ADI Late 62 Good 6 Very Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-042300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
254 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 90 68 89
Min/Max RH (%) 45 98 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.04
Precip Duration 0 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 99000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 63 Good 71 Good
ADI Late 78 Good 6 Very Poor 105 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-042300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
254 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 40
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 67 87
Min/Max RH (%) 47 98 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60300 75000
ADI Early 39 Fair 55 Gen Good 69 Good
ADI Late 70 Good 6 Very Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-042300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
254 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 91 67 88
Min/Max RH (%) 44 97 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.05
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 5100
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71000 81600
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 61 Good 68 Good
ADI Late 84 Good 6 Very Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21