Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
486
FNUS52 KILM 271316
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
916 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot and humid conditions will continue through
Tuesday with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms,
possibly lasting well into the overnight hours. The approaching
cold front will enhance thunderstorm coverage through tonight.
Drier and slightly cooler air arrives late Tuesday into Wednesday
as the front pushes farther offshore. Temperatures will run at or
below normal for Thursday and Friday with continued dry
conditions.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-280530-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
916 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 3
Max/Min Temp 92 70 89
Min/Max RH (%) 56 96 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 8 G21 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G21 SW 6 W 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.15 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 6700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 110000 93800
ADI Early 63 Good 51 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 83 Good 13 Gen Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-280530-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
916 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 60 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 2
Max/Min Temp 92 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 47 96 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G19 SW 4 W 5
Precip Amount 0.06 0.16 0.02
Precip Duration 1 3 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 7200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 136800 115200
ADI Early 74 Good 60 Gen Good 61 Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good12 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-280530-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
916 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 50 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 92 70 89
Min/Max RH (%) 48 95 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G18 SW 8 G19 NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G22 SW 5 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 0
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 7400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 25 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 140000 118400
ADI Early 72 Good 65 Good 61 Good
ADI Late 89 Good 12 Poor 123 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-280530-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
916 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 20
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 2
Max/Min Temp 93 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 47 98 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 G20 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G21 SW 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.27 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 1900 71/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 7400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 149500 111000
ADI Early 79 Good 53 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 113 Very Good11 Poor 114 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-280530-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
916 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 20
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 91 69 90
Min/Max RH (%) 48 96 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 6 G17 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G20 SW 4 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 71/0700
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 7700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 151200 123200
ADI Early 90 Good 80 Good 62 Good
ADI Late 120 Very Good11 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-280530-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
916 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 91 69 90
Min/Max RH (%) 52 96 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 7 G18 NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G21 SW 5 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.09 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 1900 72/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 8200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 132000 123000
ADI Early 80 Good 61 Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 94 Good 11 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ