Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
205
FNUS52 KILM 221236
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
836 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will shift offshore mid week bringing warmer
temperatures and moister conditions and some rain chances later
in the week and into early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-230445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
836 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 87 62 88
Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 6000
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 78000
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 36 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 8 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 6 Fog 4 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-230445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
836 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 10
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 87 63 89
Min/Max RH (%) 39 100 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 2000 72/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48800 78400
ADI Early 22 Fair 57 Gen Good 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-230445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
836 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 87 63 89
Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/1000 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5700
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48800 68400
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 38 Fair 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 49 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 6 Fog 5 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
836 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 87 63 90
Min/Max RH (%) 39 100 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/1000 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 7 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44800 74100
ADI Early 29 Fair 53 Gen Good 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$