Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
787
FNUS52 KILM 251926
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
326 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot and humid conditions are expected to continue
through Monday with scattered mainly afternoon and evening
thunderstorms. An approaching cold front should enhance
thunderstorm coverage late Monday into Monday night. Drier and
slightly cooler air should arrive by Wednesday Night as the front
finally pushes offshore.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-261130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
326 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 20 20 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 66 91 70 92
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 99 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var S 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.01 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0800 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 119700
ADI Early 23 Fair 23 Fair 29 Fair 85 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 48 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-261130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
326 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 67 91 71 93
Max/Min RH (%) 99 49 98 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 G22
Precip Amount 0.14 0.00 0.07 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 151800
ADI Early 24 Fair 21 Fair 49 Gen Good 87 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 7
Max LVORI Late 8 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-261130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
326 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 20 20 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 67 92 70 93
Max/Min RH (%) 99 51 97 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SW 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.29 0.00 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 2 0 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51300 144900
ADI Early 22 Fair 25 Fair 30 Fair 101 Very Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 129 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 5 7
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-261130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
326 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 67 92 70 92
Max/Min RH (%) 99 48 97 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.28 0.01 0.08 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52200 154100
ADI Early 28 Fair 23 Fair 51 Gen Good 101 Very Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 69 Good 6 Very Poor 120 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 7
Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA