581
FXUS62 KJAX 050023
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
823 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 823 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Scattered showers continue this evening over interior nrn
FL...should wind down during the next 1-2 hours with loss of
heating. Current low temperature forecast Tonight looks good.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Nearly stagnant flow will persist through today and tonight as
high pressure situated to the northeast over the Atlantic
gradually drifts eastward and high pressure over the gulf moves
northward, making for a slightly more westerly upper level flow
pattern going into Wednesday. Mostly scattered afternoon showers
and storms will build in association with the diurnal sea breeze
pattern, initially forming for areas near and along the I-75
corridor and west of I-95 and then later building into inland
southeast Georgia and across northeast Florida primarily to the
west of I-295. Convection will disperse overnight with dry weather
and clearing skies anticipated for early Wednesday morning. High
temperatures this afternoon will rise into the upper 80s and lower
90s over inland areas and into the mid 80s for areas adjacent to
the coast. Overnight low temperatures will drop down into the
upper 60s and lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

The Atlantic sea breeze will keep high temperatures beach-side a
bit cooler on Wednesday, with inland highs reaching the lower to
mid 90s, with mid to upper 80s along the east coast. PWATs will
finally bounce back to the 1.75-2.0" range Wednesday, promoting
numerous showers in the afternoon/evening, with isolated
thunderstorms mainly along sea breeze interactions.

Temperatures along the coast will heat up beginning Thursday as
southwesterly flow builds, preventing the Atlantic sea breeze from
filling in and cooling things down. High temperatures will reach
the 90s area-wide Thursday, with very mild lows in the low to
upper 70s. Higher rain chances continue into Thursday as a frontal
boundary approaches from the northwest.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Hot temperatures continue through the weekend, and with
southwesterly flow maintaining, highs along the immediate coast
will even be able to reach the mid to upper 90s. Timing of the
front`s passage still has some uncertainty, it looks like the
front will pass through our area Friday night, then stall and
weaken just south of the area leaving isolated precip chances
Saturday and Sunday over NE FL. Another front appears to trail
behind at the beginning of next week, increasing precip chances
again on Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

VFR conditions next 24 hours. Widely scattered SHRA/TSRA possible
Wed afternoon/evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

High pressure to the northeast will continue to bring
southeasterly winds across the waters with winds stronger winds
this afternoon with sea breeze development occurring across the
nearshore zones during the afternoon hours, through Thursday. Flow
turns offshore late this week as a weak cold front approaches
from the north. The front is expected to push into and through
most of the area waters Friday night into Saturday before
eventually stalling across local waters as weak high pressure
builds in behind from out of the northwest. Shower and
thunderstorm chances will increase across waters late this week as
flow becomes more offshore and chances for convection will
continue on into the weekend, building predominantly within the
vicinity of the stalled front.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents at all beaches today
and Wednesday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 952 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

Record high temperatures at our designated climate sites on
Thursday and Friday:

                June 6      June 7
              ----------------------
Jacksonville    99/1985    100/1993
Gainesville     100/1927   99/1985
Alma, GA        101/1985   98/1993
Craig Airport   99/2011    96/1985

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  70  92  72  92 /  20  50  20  70
SSI  74  87  75  90 /  10  50  20  50
JAX  70  91  72  95 /  10  60  20  50
SGJ  71  89  73  94 /  10  60  20  50
GNV  68  94  70  94 /  20  70  10  50
OCF  69  94  71  94 /  20  70  20  50

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$