Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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465
FNUS72 KJAX 311419
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Clay County Lake Asbury/ State Road 23 Fire...Clay County EM
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1019 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on May 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather will continue at the wildfire site through at least Sunday
morning. Minimum relative humidity values will fall to the 30-35
percent range this afternoon. East-northeasterly surface and transport
winds will become breezy by early afternoon, with sustained speeds
increasing to 15-20 mph with occasional gusts around 25 mph through
late afternoon. These breezy winds will combine with elevated mixing
heights to create good smoke dispersion through around sunset tonight.
Surface and transport winds will shift to easterly after sunset, with
speeds only gradually decreasing overnight. Transport winds will
remain sustained around 10 mph during the overnight and predawn hours
on Saturday, negating any chances for significant fog formation at the
wildfire site through Saturday morning.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  26  29  33  32  32  32
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  88  88  89  89  88  86
RH..............40  35  35  35  35  35  40
Heat index (F)..87  87  89  89  90  89  88
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   10  12  13  14  15  15
20 FT wind gust.13  16  17  20  21  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 5.7 6.2 6.5 6.1 5.6 5.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  13  14  15  16
Dispersion idx..55  65  65  65  65  65  70
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  25  22  22  23  23  23  24  24  23  22  22
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............84  81  78  76  74  72  71  70  69  67  67  66
RH..............40  45  50  60  64  71  73  76  78  81  81  81
Heat index (F)..87  83  81  77  76  74  73  72  72  70  70  69
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..15  13  12  9   8   7   7   7   7   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.23  20  17  14  13  10  10  10  10  9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  16  14  13  12  12  10  10  9   9
Dispersion idx..70  65  15  15  10  6   6   5   5   5   5   4
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Kayla Futch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415407.0/JAX
.DELDT 05/31/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kayla.futch@claycountygov.com