Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
530
FNUS71 KLWX 160944
FWSLWX
Spot Forecast for Key Bridge Response...USCG
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
544 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will continue to push off the NJ coast later this morning
and into the afternoon resulting in downsloping north to northwest
flow. Meanwhile, weak high pressure will build in at the surface allowing
for clearing skies and drier conditions. The gradient between the departing
low pressure system and incumbent high will result in breezy conditions
across the incident location later this morning and into the afternoon.
Winds will shift from the northwest early this morning to the north
mid-morning and into the afternoon hours. Sustained speeds of 5 to
15 knots can be expected with gusts up to 25 kts during mid
to late afternoon. Small Craft Advisories are in effect from 0800 this
morning until 2200 tonight. Winds will drop off overnight into Friday
as weak high pressure sits south of the incident location. Conditions
will remain dry with increasing clouds Friday morning. Shower chances and
perhaps a thunderstorm return Friday evening and into the overnight hours
as a warm front approaches the region.
VFR ceilings are expected this morning with few to scattered clouds around
3000 feet. Scattered to broken ceilings between 5 to 10 kft are expected
this afternoon and early evening before lowering once again tonight.
Tide levels will decrease today with northerly flow. Water levels will
rise again Friday into Saturday under southeasterly flow. No tidal flooding
is expected through Friday.
The current water temperature is around 65 degrees.
NW Branch Patapsco River at Baltimore MD
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.4 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 6.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.3 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
16/03 AM 1.6 -0.1 0.3 0.5 None
16/02 PM 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 None
17/02 AM 2.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 None
17/03 PM 2.3 0.6 1.0 0.5 None
18/03 AM 2.8 1.1 1.3 0.5 None
18/04 PM 2.6 0.9 1.3 0.5 None
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent shading).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Surface winds (kts).North winds 8 to 14 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots
Wave height.........1 foot.
CEILING (KFT).......13 increasing to 25 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 5.0 late in the afternoon.
Visibility..........10.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33 25 20 20 21 25 32 38 58 65 65 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............59 61 62 64 67 69 70 71 72 72 73 73
RH..............89 85 82 79 70 64 62 60 58 60 60 61
SFC wnd dir.....NW N N N N N N N N N N N
SFC wnd spd kts.8 8 9 11 11 12 13 13 14 14 12 11
SFC wnd gst.....12 13 15 16 17 18 18 20 21 22 19 17
Wave height (ft)1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Ceiling (kft)...13 13 25 25 25 25 13 9.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 9.0
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent shading) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent shading).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Surface winds (kts).Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots.
Wave height.........1 foot.
CEILING (KFT).......5.0 increasing to 25 early in the evening
decreasing to 9.0 after 3 am.
Visibility..........10.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50 35 19 22 23 34 39 46 47 52 56 61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
Temp............71 71 69 68 66 66 64 63 62 62 61 61
RH..............66 66 68 74 77 77 81 82 85 86 88 89
SFC wnd dir.....N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N
SFC wnd spd kts.10 9 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5
SFC wnd gst.....16 14 14 13 11 12 10 10 10 10 8 7
Wave height (ft)1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Ceiling (kft)...5.0 9.0 25 25 9.0 9.0 9.0 13 13 13 9.0 9.0
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent shading).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Surface winds (kts).Northeast winds 5 to 8 knots shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
CEILING (KFT).......5.0 decreasing to 0.8 late in the morning,
then increasing to 5.0 in the afternoon.
Visibility..........10.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........67 76 74 74 73 75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10
Temp............61 62 65 67 69 69
RH..............89 84 77 74 70 72
SFC wind (kts)..NE 5 NE 6 NE 5 E 5 E 6 E 8
SFC wnd gst ....8 8 7 6 9
Wave height (ft)0 0 0 0 0 0
Ceiling (kft)...5.0 1.5 0.8 2.5 5.0 5.0
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10
$$
Forecaster...Taylor
Requested by...Jackie Gonzalez
Type of request...MARINE
.TAG 2413369.0/LWX
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nws-sterling-wxsupport@noaa.gov,Sitlkeybridgeresponse2024@gmail.com,jpg112122@gmail.com