Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
997
FNUS54 KMAF 230728
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
228 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024
...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ADJACENT PLAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 2
PERCENT, 20 FT WINDS GREATER THAN 20 MPH AND EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns increase today as very dry air expands
across the region with widespread RH under 5 percent and
temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal. Increasing winds in the
mountains and adjacent plains will yield critical fire weather
conditions. This will combine with extremely dry fuels helping to
increase fire potential in these areas. Although very dry air will
spread across the entire region today, greenup and lighter winds
largely mitigate more substantial fire weather concerns. Elevated
conditions are possible again on Friday, with another round of
critical fire weather conditions Saturday as winds increase across
the mountains once again. The forecast looks to remain hot and dry
until some relief arrives the middle of next week.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-232115-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
128 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+5) 53 (-3) 88
RH % (24h trend) 2 (-5) 16 (-4) 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 W 16 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17 W 11 SW 10
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 45 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10230 10360
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 276210 207200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 5 3
RFTI Category Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-232115-
Chaves Plains-
128 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+8) 56 (0) 92
RH % (24h trend) 3 (-10) 18 (-31) 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6 SW 14 NW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 W 9 SW 7
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 21 40 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12860 10810
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 282920 172960
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 5 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-232115-
Eddy Plains-
128 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 95 (+6) 58 (-2) 94
RH % (24h trend) 2 (-6) 14 (-23) 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7 W 15 NW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17 W 8 W 8
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 40 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11490 10610
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 287250 159150
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 6 1
RFTI Category Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-232115-
Lea-
128 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+8) 58 (-1) 93
RH % (24h trend) 2 (-11) 15 (-71) 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 8 SW 15 NW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 15 W 9 W 8
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 40 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12150 10220
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 315900 173740
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 4 0
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-232115-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
228 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024 /128 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 86 (+3) 56 (-3) 87
RH % (24h trend) 3 (-2) 13 (+1) 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 W 17 W 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 19 W 14 W 14
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 44 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8350 7410
Transport Wnd (kts) W 30 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 250500 133380
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 6 6 3
RFTI Category Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ275>282-232115-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
228 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 100 (+4) 57 (-7) 99
RH % (24h trend) 2 (-3) 14 (-22) 2
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7 W 8 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11 NW 6 W 9
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 36 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11250 9260
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 270000 166680
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 2 0
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-232115-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Including the city of Van Horn
228 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+1) 59 (-3) 93
RH % (24h trend) 2 (-2) 13 (-2) 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 W 13 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16 W 10 W 10
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 41 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10460 9450
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 282420 179550
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 5 2
RFTI Category Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-232115-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
228 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 100 (+8) 61 (-5) 99
RH % (24h trend) 2 (-16) 33 (-51) 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 7 W 10 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 12 SW 6 W 8
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 36 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12020 10280
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 288480 174760
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 4 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$