Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
980
FNUS54 KMAF 300845
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
345 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected through next week,
mainly over the higher terrain west of the Pecos on the west side of
a developing dryline each day.  Critical minimum relative
humidities will coincide with increased 20-ft winds each
afternoon. ERCs remain above the 90th percentile in these areas.
However, fuel density and limited opportunities for fire starts
remain low.  The one exception continues be Saturday afternoon,
when the dryline will be far enough west that lightning starts
will be possible as far west as the Sacramento Foothills, in the
absence of appreciable wetting rains.  Relative humidity will
bottom out at 3-48% this afternoon, and 4-64% Friday.  Recovery
overnight will be poor from the Guadalupe Mountains, to the Davis
Mountains, to the Presidio Valley, but moderate to excellent
elsewhere.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.


NMZ116-302145-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
245 AM MDT Thu May 30 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      93 (+9)      55 (-3)      88
RH % (24h trend)      4 (-17)      60 (+1)      11
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  5        W 10         N  6
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW  9        W  8         E  8
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     12           29           17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    15180                     7920
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 17                     NE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     258060                    110880
Vent Category         Excellent                 Very good
RFTI                  2            2            0
RFTI Category         Elevated     Elevated     Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the upper 50s.  Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  East winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  South
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the lower 60s.  Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NMZ117-302145-
Chaves Plains-
245 AM MDT Thu May 30 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      98 (+11)     57 (-6)      94
RH % (24h trend)      5 (-26)      92 (+13)     15
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  9         SW  8        NE  7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S  8         NE  8        E  6
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     23           26           17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    15920                     7610
Transport Wnd (kts)   S 19                      E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     302480                    91320
Vent Category         Excellent                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the lower 60s.  Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.  East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the lower 60s.  Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

NMZ118-302145-
Eddy Plains-
245 AM MDT Thu May 30 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      99 (+12)     60 (-6)      94
RH % (24h trend)      4 (-29)      73 (+3)      14
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  7         SW 11        N  7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S  8         S  9         NE  6
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          5            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     14           26           19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    14860                     7360
Transport Wnd (kts)   S 16                      NE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     237760                    103040
Vent Category         Excellent                 Very good
RFTI                  1            1            0
RFTI Category         Elevated     Elevated     Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent.  East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear.  A 20 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent.  Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  South winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the upper 60s.  Highs around
103. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NMZ119-302145-
Lea-
245 AM MDT Thu May 30 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            10
Temp (24h trend)      97 (+11)     57 (-6)      92
RH % (24h trend)      6 (-28)      96 (+9)      15
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 12         S 10         E  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 11         SE  9        E  8
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     21           28           17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    13870                     6540
Transport Wnd (kts)   S 20                      E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     277400                    85020
Vent Category         Excellent                 Good
RFTI                  1            1            0
RFTI Category         Elevated     Elevated     Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.  East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the lower 60s.  Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  South winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  South winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the upper 60s.  Highs around
100.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

TXZ270-271-302145-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
345 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024 /245 AM MDT Thu May 30 2024/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      91 (+7)      59 (0)       89
RH % (24h trend)      4 (-17)      20 (-49)     9
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  8        W 11         N  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 12        W  7         E  8
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          5            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     11           32           14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    11180                     8440
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 17                     NW 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     190060                    92840
Vent Category         Excellent                 Good
RFTI                  1            1            0
RFTI Category         Elevated     Elevated     Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent.  East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Windy.  Mostly clear.  Lows in the lower 60s.  Highs
around 90.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around
90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
West winds 25 to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
West winds 15 to 30 mph.

$$

TXZ272-273-275>282-302145-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
345 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      100 (+7)     59 (-7)      100
RH % (24h trend)      3 (-16)      63 (-6)      5
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  5         W  7         Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW  8        N  5         NW  6
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     18           25           20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    11770                     10710
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 17                     W 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     200090                    117810
Vent Category         Excellent                 Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.  Chance of
precipitation 40 percent.  North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the mid 60s.  Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  East winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the upper 60s.  Highs around
101.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.  South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-302145-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
345 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     10           20           10
Temp (24h trend)      99 (+9)      62 (-5)      96
RH % (24h trend)      14 (-22)     100 (+15)    16
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 10         SE 11        SE  9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 11         SE  9        E  8
LAL                   1            3            3
Haines Index          6            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     17           32           21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    9190                      5770
Transport Wnd (kts)   S 22                      SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     202180                    92320
Vent Category         Excellent                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the upper 60s.  Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.  East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy.  A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.  Lows in the upper 60s.  Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.  East winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows around 70.  Highs around 103.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear.  Lows in the lower 70s.  Highs around
102.  Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.  South winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

44