Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
495
FNUS54 KMAF 291852
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
152 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Elevated fire weather conditions are likely each day west of the
dryline for westernmost parts of the area in the Sacramento
Foothills, Guadalupes, adjacent plains, higher terrain west of the
Pecos, and Presidio Valley into the Big Bend, where ERCs running
high at or above the 95th percentile, poor overnight recovery, min
RH below critical 15%, and gusty 20ft winds contribute to fire
weather concerns. On Saturday, storms occurring over these regions
of high ERCs could pose a risk for fire starts, however lower
fuel density will constrain this risk.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-300915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1252 PM MDT Wed May 29 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-2) 93 (+5) 55 88
RH % (24h trend) 61 (-29) 4 (-13) 56 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 10 W 6 W 10 N 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 SW 10 W 8 E 9
LAL 1 1 1 2
Haines Index 6 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 13 29 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14040 7970
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 17 NE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 238680 135490
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 0 2 2 0
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-300915-
Chaves Plains-
1252 PM MDT Wed May 29 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-1) 98 (+8) 58 92
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+14) 4 (-26) 91 15
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 13 S 7 SW 9 N 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 SW 7 NE 8 E 7
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 25 26 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 15150 7700
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 16 NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 242400 138600
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-300915-
Eddy Plains-
1252 PM MDT Wed May 29 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-2) 100 (+6) 61 95
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+2) 4 (-23) 66 13
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 13 S 6 SW 11 N 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 9 SW 9 SW 9 NE 7
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 17 26 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13980 8400
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 15 NE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 209700 142800
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 0 1 1 0
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around
102. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-300915-
Lea-
1252 PM MDT Wed May 29 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (0) 97 (+10) 58 92
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+11) 5 (-32) 91 15
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 14 S 9 S 10 NE 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 11 SW 10 SE 9 NE 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 25 27 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13830 7580
Transport Wnd (kts) S 17 E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 235110 121280
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 0 1 1 0
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-300915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
152 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024 /1252 PM MDT Wed May 29 2024/
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+1) 91 (+3) 58 90
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-42) 4 (-8) 19 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 9 W 9 W 12 NW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 7 W 13 W 8 NW 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 11 12 30 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10240 9620
Transport Wnd (kts) W 17 W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 174080 125060
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 1 3 3 1
RFTI Category Elevated Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-300915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
152 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-4) 101 (+4) 59 101
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+4) 3 (-10) 64 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 8 W 5 W 8 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6 SW 8 NW 6 W 6
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 12 16 24 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11430 11700
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 18 W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 205740 140400
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 0 2 2 0
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around
100. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around
100. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-300915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
152 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 10 20
Temp (24h trend) 65 (0) 99 (+6) 63 98
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+14) 12 (-25) 100 14
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 12 S 9 S 10 S 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 S 9 SE 9 E 8
LAL 3 1 3 3
Haines Index 4 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 20 19 30 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9450 6780
Transport Wnd (kts) S 20 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 189000 115260
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 103.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$