Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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835
FNUS54 KMAF 281823
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected through next week,
mainly over the higher terrain west of the Pecos on the west side
of a developing dryline each day.  Critical minimum relative
humidities will coincide with increased 20-ft winds each
afternoon.  ERCs remain above the 95th percentile in these areas.
However, fuel density and limited opportunities for fire starts
remain low.  Relative humidity will bottom out at 4-44% this
afternoon, and 4-67% Wednesday. Recovery overnight will be poor
in the upper Presidio Valley, but moderate to excellent
elsewhere.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.


NMZ116-290915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-1)      89 (-4)      52           93
RH % (24h trend)      72 (+53)     5 (0)        52           4
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 11         NE  5        S 10         W  6
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE  6        SE  9        SW  7        SW  9
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     35           12           30           18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 9480                      14530
Transport Wnd (kts)                SE 16                     W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  151680                    247010
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  3            1            1            2
RFTI Category         Near Crit    Elevated     Elevated     Elevated

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ117-290915-
Chaves Plains-
1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+2)      93 (-5)      59           98
RH % (24h trend)      95 (+41)     16 (+10)     98           4
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 12        E  6         SE 11        S  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 10         SE  8        SE 11        S  7
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     29           17           30           19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6390                      16400
Transport Wnd (kts)                SE 15                     SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  95850                     246000
Vent Category                      Good                      Excellent
RFTI                  2            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Elevated     Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

NMZ118-290915-
Eddy Plains-
1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     0            10           10           0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-2)      94 (-7)      62           99
RH % (24h trend)      85 (+58)     13 (+6)      82           4
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 12        E  6         SE 11        S  7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 10        E  7         SE 10        SW  8
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     29           13           24           16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 7810                      14630
Transport Wnd (kts)                SE 14                     SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  109340                    234080
Vent Category                      Very good                 Excellent
RFTI                  3            0            0            1
RFTI Category         Near Crit    Nil          Nil          Elevated

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around
101. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NMZ119-290915-
Lea-
1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     10           20           10           0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-5)      90 (-8)      61           97
RH % (24h trend)      98 (+35)     22 (+13)     100          5
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 13         E  9         SE 13        S  9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 13         SE  9        SE 12        S 10
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            5            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     32           17           28           15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5600                      14720
Transport Wnd (kts)                SE 18                     S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  100800                    250240
Vent Category                      Very good                 Excellent
RFTI                  1            0            0            1
RFTI Category         Elevated     Nil          Nil          Elevated

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ270-271-290915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 /1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      58 (-6)      90 (0)       58           91
RH % (24h trend)      44 (+29)     5 (-2)       34           4
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 10         E  8         S 10         SW  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE  8        SE  9        SE  8        W 11
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          6            5            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     36           13           23           20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 11020                     10580
Transport Wnd (kts)                S 16                      W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  176320                    190440
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  1            1            1            1
RFTI Category         Elevated     Elevated     Elevated     Elevated

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ272-273-275>282-290915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           10           10           10
Temp (24h trend)      60 (-8)      101 (+2)     60           101
RH % (24h trend)      83 (+41)     4 (-8)       82           3
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  8        SE  5        SE  8        SW  5
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE  6        SW  7        E  7         SW  7
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Haines Index          6            5            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     34           19           18           21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 12190                     12300
Transport Wnd (kts)                SW 16                     W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  195040                    221400
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around
100. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-290915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-5)      97 (-2)      66           100
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+34)    19 (-4)      100          8
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SE 12        SE  9        SE 10        S  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 10        E  9         SE  9        S  9
LAL                   3            3            1            3
Haines Index          6            6            5            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     30           18           23           20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6900                      10860
Transport Wnd (kts)                SE 19                     S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  131100                    195480
Vent Category                      Very good                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.

$$