Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
835 FNUS54 KMAF 281823 FWFMAF Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 .DISCUSSION... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected through next week, mainly over the higher terrain west of the Pecos on the west side of a developing dryline each day. Critical minimum relative humidities will coincide with increased 20-ft winds each afternoon. ERCs remain above the 95th percentile in these areas. However, fuel density and limited opportunities for fire starts remain low. Relative humidity will bottom out at 4-44% this afternoon, and 4-67% Wednesday. Recovery overnight will be poor in the upper Presidio Valley, but moderate to excellent elsewhere. && For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office. NMZ116-290915- Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains- 1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Type None None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 55 (-1) 89 (-4) 52 93 RH % (24h trend) 72 (+53) 5 (0) 52 4 Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11 NE 5 S 10 W 6 Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 6 SE 9 SW 7 SW 9 LAL 1 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 6 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 12 30 18 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9480 14530 Transport Wnd (kts) SE 16 W 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 151680 247010 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 3 1 1 2 RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. $$ NMZ117-290915- Chaves Plains- 1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Type None Tstms None None Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 59 (+2) 93 (-5) 59 98 RH % (24h trend) 95 (+41) 16 (+10) 98 4 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 E 6 SE 11 S 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 10 SE 8 SE 11 S 7 LAL 1 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 6 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 17 30 19 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6390 16400 Transport Wnd (kts) SE 15 SW 15 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 95850 246000 Vent Category Good Excellent RFTI 2 0 0 0 RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 101. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NMZ118-290915- Eddy Plains- 1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 0 10 10 0 Temp (24h trend) 62 (-2) 94 (-7) 62 99 RH % (24h trend) 85 (+58) 13 (+6) 82 4 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 E 6 SE 11 S 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 E 7 SE 10 SW 8 LAL 1 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 6 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 13 24 16 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7810 14630 Transport Wnd (kts) SE 14 SW 16 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 109340 234080 Vent Category Very good Excellent RFTI 3 0 0 1 RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NMZ119-290915- Lea- 1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 10 20 10 0 Temp (24h trend) 59 (-5) 90 (-8) 61 97 RH % (24h trend) 98 (+35) 22 (+13) 100 5 Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 13 E 9 SE 13 S 9 Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 13 SE 9 SE 12 S 10 LAL 1 2 1 1 Haines Index 6 6 5 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 17 28 15 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5600 14720 Transport Wnd (kts) SE 18 S 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 100800 250240 Vent Category Very good Excellent RFTI 1 0 0 1 RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. $$ TXZ270-271-290915- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and Pine Springs 123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 /1223 PM MDT Tue May 28 2024/ Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Clear Precip Type None None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 58 (-6) 90 (0) 58 91 RH % (24h trend) 44 (+29) 5 (-2) 34 4 Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 E 8 S 10 SW 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 8 SE 9 SE 8 W 11 LAL 1 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 13 23 20 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11020 10580 Transport Wnd (kts) S 16 W 18 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 176320 190440 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 1 1 1 1 RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 10 mph. $$ TXZ272-273-275>282-290915- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon 123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 10 10 10 Temp (24h trend) 60 (-8) 101 (+2) 60 101 RH % (24h trend) 83 (+41) 4 (-8) 82 3 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 8 SE 5 SE 8 SW 5 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6 SW 7 E 7 SW 7 LAL 3 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 19 18 21 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12190 12300 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 16 W 18 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 195040 221400 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 0 0 0 RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 100. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-290915- Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving- Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos- Terrell-Reeves County Plains- Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos 123 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20 20 Temp (24h trend) 63 (-5) 97 (-2) 66 100 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+34) 19 (-4) 100 8 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 12 SE 9 SE 10 S 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 E 9 SE 9 S 9 LAL 3 3 1 3 Haines Index 6 6 5 6 Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 18 23 20 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6900 10860 Transport Wnd (kts) SE 19 S 18 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 131100 195480 Vent Category Very good Excellent RFTI 0 0 0 0 RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs around 101. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs around 101. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. $$